Seventy-seven percent, more than 3,600 yards, more than 30 touchdowns, on the highest-rated team in the sport. The market has him third and cannot explain why.
2
Arch ManningTexas
3,163 yards, 26 touchdowns, 400 on the ground and ten more scores, and a 155-yard rushing night against Michigan. Two new receivers and a rebuilt line arrive for the encore.
3
CJ CarrNotre Dame
A redshirt freshman who closed on a ten-game winning streak with 24 touchdowns against six interceptions. Denbrock's third year calling it is the reason to expect more volume.
4
Trinidad ChamblissOle Miss
Division II to SEC Newcomer of the Year to eighth in the voting, in one season, starting in Week 3. He gets LSU in Week 3 and Texas in Week 8.
5
Dante MooreOregon
Thirty touchdowns and an elite completion rate, and he turned down the draft. Oregon at Ohio State in November is the single largest stage either quarterback gets.
6
Jeremiah SmithOhio State
Seventy-six catches, roughly 1,300 yards, fifteen scores, and Tate's targets now vacant. No receiver has won since 2020, which is the only thing standing in front of him.
7
Gunner StocktonGeorgia
Better than 70 percent and 31 total touchdowns while winning the SEC as a first-year starter. His fourth-quarter numbers against ranked teams are the case.
8
Darian MensahMiami
Nearly 4,000 yards and 34 touchdowns and an ACC title at Duke, now in an offense with more talent than the one he did it in.
9
Marcel ReedTexas A&M
He took a program to its first playoff and returns everything that mattered. The schedule gives him three November chances to be the story.
10
Josh HooverIndiana
He inherits the system that produced a Heisman winner and a 16-0 season. That is either the best job in the sport or the worst, and there is no third option.
11
Sam LeavittLSU
A dual-threat starter in a Kiffin offense in Death Valley, before taking a snap. Buzz is not production, but the fit is the most obvious on this list.
12
John MateerOklahoma
The rushing volume is the differentiator and the SEC schedule is the amplifier. Every big number he posts happens against a ranked defense.
13
LaNorris SellersSouth Carolina
The traits have never been the question. The record has, and Heisman voters have not given it to a team with four losses since the award existed in its current shape.
14
Ahmad HardyMissouri
The second-leading rusher in the country returns. Running backs face the same wall receivers do, and he is the one most likely to test it.
15
Malachi ToneyMiami
He was central to a run to the national title game as an underclassman. A new quarterback with more arm talent is the variable that makes the target share matter.
Dark Horses
16
Kewan LacyOle Miss
The back in the offense with the most watched quarterback in the sport. Volume plus attention is the only route a runner has ever had.
17
Rocco BechtPenn State
He brought most of an offense with him from Ames to a schedule with no ranked November. Nobody has priced what that combination produces.
18
Drew MestemakerOklahoma State
An Air Raid transplanted whole into a conference without defenses, run by a quarterback some evaluators have in the 2027 first round. The numbers will be absurd. The record decides whether they count.
19
Micah AlejadoHawai'i
Mountain West freshman of the year, back with his roster held together. Two Power Four road games and a playoff-relevant conference title is a full campaign.
20
Cutter BoleyArizona State
He replaces a quarterback who left for LSU, with two transfer receivers and a coach who has done more with less twice already.