Stafford led the league with 4,707 yards and 46 touchdowns at 37, and then the roster added Myles Garrett on June 1. One trade moved the market from +800 to +500.

They finished first in both total and defensive DVOA and won it, which five teams in history have done. Kenneth Walker, Boye Mafe and Riq Woolen are all gone.

Allen was the only player in football with 3,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards, and Buffalo still finished two games behind New England in the division.

A defense that produced six sacks in its first five games added Trey Hendrickson, and the staff around Jackson and Henry is almost entirely new.

They lost the AFC Championship Game at home with Jarrett Stidham taking the snaps after Bo Nix hurt his ankle against Buffalo. Jaylen Waddle arrives for an offense that had no vertical element.

FPI has three NFC West teams in its preseason top five, the first division to manage that since 2022. San Francisco is the one where the argument is age at premium positions.

They led the league in offensive EPA per play against the softest schedule in football, then drew the Chargers, the Texans and a Nix-less Denver in January. FPI has them 14th.

Mahomes tore his ACL in Week 15. This rank is a rehabilitation timeline more than it is a roster read, and the roster read is fine.

Goff put up 4,564 yards, 34 touchdowns and eight interceptions behind the same line, and Gibbs is the shortest-priced non-quarterback in the MVP market.

Eleven wins with the worst version of this offense anyone has seen. Sean Mannion takes over the play calling and the personnel around him barely moved.

The defense has carried this roster for two seasons. Stroud is the variable the ranking cannot settle before September.

Prescott is the first NFC name on the MVP board. The NFC East has not produced a repeat winner in two decades, which is the whole reason this rank is not higher.

Herbert's ceiling has always been a line question. Joe Alt's availability is the single input that moves this number most.

Williams threw 27 touchdowns against seven interceptions in year two. The supporting cast is the same one that produced it.

Love sits inside the market's top ten again on a roster that returns intact. The ranking is where the roster is, not where the price is.

Burrow played Week 1, Week 2, and then nothing until Week 13. The roster ranked 17th is the roster that had no quarterback for ten games.

Lawrence sits inside the MVP market's top ten while Jacksonville sits 16th in the consensus. One of those two numbers is wrong.

The head coach lost his entire staff and kept his job. Defensive improvement is the only lever available, which also makes it the largest one.

Every NFC South team went 3-3 in division play and none finished above .500. The price of entry to a division title is lower here than anywhere in football.

O'Connell has produced winning seasons with more than one quarterback. A 19th-ranked roster is not a 19th-ranked coaching staff.

The NFC four seed lost 34-31 to the Rams, which was the closest anyone came to Los Angeles in January outside the conference title game.

Hosted a wild card game and lost it 30-6. Michael Pittman Jr. joins DK Metcalf on a three year, 59 million dollar extension and the quarterback question is still open.

Started 8-2, lost seven straight to close, and Daniel Jones tore an Achilles in Week 14. He says he is cleared to do everything.

Fired Raheem Morris after a strong finish, hired Kevin Stefanski, extended Drake London and Kyle Pitts Sr., then signed Tua Tagovailoa for 1.3 million dollars behind Michael Penix Jr.

John Harbaugh takes over a roster waiting on Malik Nabers from an ACL tear and Cam Skattebo from a tibia and ankle injury.

A two first round pick trade for Maxx Crosby was reversed on medical grounds, leaving Las Vegas with a disgruntled pass rusher and no settled read on his value.

Year two for Cam Ward, with Solomon Thomas added to the interior from Dallas.

Todd Monken inherits a Shedeur Sanders and Deshaun Watson competition, plus Jared Verse and the picks that came back for Myles Garrett.

3-14, last in the NFLPA report card among all 32 teams, and 46 million dollars in dead money from cutting Kyler Murray.

Traded for Geno Smith, who finished 27th in QBR and led the NFL with 17 interceptions.

Fired the coach and the general manager, cut the quarterback, and signed Malik Willis for 67.5 million dollars into a receiver room that is not settled.