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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-24 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
MIN at TB · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 1 of 2 · 4.0/game
3.5
5
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
+134
40.0%
10.1
MIN at TB · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 1 of 2 · 4.0/game
3.5
5
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-179
60.0%
10.1
CAR at CLE · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 11 games
0.5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+900
as offered
5.7
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 recs in 1 of 1 · 2.0/game
0.5
2
Full season →
Recs
Over
0.5
-175
60.0%
4.2
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 recs in 1 of 1 · 2.0/game
0.5
2
Full season →
Recs
Under
0.5
+135
40.0%
4.2
UTAH at ISU · CFB · SAT 3:30 PM
2026: a TD in 1 of 3 games
0.5
0Utah S
0Arkans
1Idaho
Full season →
Anytime TD
+420
as offered
3.5
NE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 0 of 2 · 3.0/game
3.5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-143
55.3%
2.9
NE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 0 of 2 · 3.0/game
3.5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
+110
44.7%
2.9
HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 5.5 recs in 1 of 2 · 8.0/game
5.5
12
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
5.5
+108
45.0%
2.8
HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 5.5 recs in 1 of 2 · 8.0/game
5.5
12
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
5.5
-142
55.0%
2.8
NYJ at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 2 games
0.5
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+750
as offered
2.7
NYJ at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+825
as offered
2.5
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 7.5 rec yds in 1 of 1 · 20.0/game
7.5
20
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
7.5
-114
50.0%
2.4
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 7.5 rec yds in 1 of 1 · 20.0/game
7.5
20
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
7.5
-114
50.0%
2.4
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 7 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1100
as offered
2.1
HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 2 of 2 games
0.5
1
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
+210
as offered
2.0
CAR at CLE · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 1 of 2 games
0.5
2
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+340
as offered
1.7
CAR at CLE · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 11 games
0.5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
First TD
+3500
as offered
1.6
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 0 of 2 · 2.5/game
3.5
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
+116
43.3%
1.6
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 0 of 2 · 2.5/game
3.5
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-154
56.7%
1.6
CIN at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 2 games
0.5
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+625
as offered
1.6
HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2024: a TD in 0 of 2 games
0.5
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+2200
as offered
1.6
HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 4.5 recs in 1 of 2 · 4.5/game
4.5
6
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
4.5
-140
54.8%
1.5
HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 4.5 recs in 1 of 2 · 4.5/game
4.5
6
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
4.5
+108
45.3%
1.5
CIN at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+600
as offered
1.4
SEA at WSH · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
First TD
+2850
as offered
1.4
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
3.5
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-120
51.3%
1.3
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 3.5 recs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
3.5
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-108
48.7%
1.3
ND at PUR · CFB · SAT 2:00 PM
2026: cleared 10.5 rec yds in 3 of 3 · 30.0/game
10.5
30@UCLA
17Wake F
43Indian
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
10.5
-108
48.7%
1.3
ND at PUR · CFB · SAT 2:00 PM
2026: cleared 10.5 rec yds in 3 of 3 · 30.0/game
10.5
30@UCLA
17Wake F
43Indian
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
10.5
-120
51.3%
1.3
NYJ at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 2 games
0.5
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1550
as offered
1.3
HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 11 games
0.5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1300
as offered
1.3
SEA at WSH · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
First TD
+2750
as offered
1.3
SEA at WSH · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+850
as offered
1.2
ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: a TD in 0 of 2 games
0.5
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+390
as offered
1.1
CIN at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+3350
as offered
1.1
CMU at MIA · CFB · SAT 6:30 PM
2026: a TD in 1 of 3 games
0.5
1@Wake
0Florid
0@Stanf
Full season →
Anytime TD
+125
as offered
1.0
SEA at WSH · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 21.5 rec yds in 0 of 2 · 10.5/game
21.5
8
13
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
21.5
-114
49.7%
0.9
SEA at WSH · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 21.5 rec yds in 0 of 2 · 10.5/game
21.5
8
13
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
21.5
-116
50.3%
0.9
KC at MIA · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 4.5 recs in 1 of 2 · 6.0/game
4.5
9
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
4.5
-109
49.0%
0.9

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 4269 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.