The Market
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
SNAPSHOT 2026-09-24 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
TEN at NYG · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 0 of 1 · 0.0/game
Full season →0.5
-270
68.2%
▲35.3TEN at NYG · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 0 of 1 · 0.0/game
Full season →0.5
+194
31.8%
▼35.3ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 1 pass TDs in 2 of 9 · 1.0/game
Full season →1
+115
49.3%
▼18.0ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 1 pass TDs in 2 of 9 · 1.0/game
Full season →1
+109
50.7%
▲18.0ARI at SF · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
-165
58.5%
▼2.4ARI at SF · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
+126
41.5%
▲2.4HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
+152
37.2%
▲1.8HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
-204
62.8%
▼1.8NYJ at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →1.5
-192
61.8%
▼1.7NYJ at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →1.5
+146
38.2%
▲1.7MIN at TB · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →1.5
-183
60.6%
▲1.1MIN at TB · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →1.5
+138
39.4%
▼1.1ARI at SF · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
+174
34.3%
▼0.4ARI at SF · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
-233
65.7%
▲0.4SEA at WSH · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 1 of 1 · 1.0/game
Full season →0.5
+151
37.4%
▲0.4SEA at WSH · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 1 of 1 · 1.0/game
Full season →0.5
-200
62.6%
▼0.4TEN at NYG · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →0.5
-200
62.7%
▼0.3TEN at NYG · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →0.5
+152
37.3%
▲0.3HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
+121
42.4%
▼0.3HOU at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
-161
57.6%
▲0.3MIN at TB · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 1 · 0.0/game
Full season →1.5
+136
39.8%
▲0.3MIN at TB · NFL · SUN 4:05 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 1 · 0.0/game
Full season →1.5
-179
60.2%
▼0.3ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
-118
50.5%
▼0.3ATL at GB · NFL · THU 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
-112
49.5%
▲0.3NE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
-110
48.9%
▲0.3NE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
-120
51.1%
▼0.3KC at MIA · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
-208
63.5%
▲0.3KC at MIA · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
+157
36.5%
▼0.3NE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →1.5
+139
39.3%
▲0.2NE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 0.5/game
Full season →1.5
-183
60.7%
▼0.2BAL at DAL · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
-148
56.0%
▼0.2BAL at DAL · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 0 of 2 · 1.0/game
Full season →1.5
+113
44.0%
▲0.2NYJ at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 3.0/game
Full season →1.5
+155
36.9%
▼0.1NYJ at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 3.0/game
Full season →1.5
-204
63.1%
▲0.1LV at NO · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
+108
45.3%
▼0.1LV at NO · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 1 of 2 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
-140
54.8%
▲0.1LAC at BUF · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
-152
56.4%
▲0.1LAC at BUF · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
+115
43.6%
▼0.1PHI at CHI · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
+132
40.5%
▲0.1PHI at CHI · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2026: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 2 of 2 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
-172
59.5%
▼0.1Showing 40 of 60 priced selections.
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.