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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▼1.61/110.1
B. NixBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+450as offered▲1.54/180.3
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+663as offered▲1.41/110.1
J. McLaughlinBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered▼1.31/100.1
R. RiceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+151as offered▼1.04/80.8
J. BrownleeBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+3000as offered▲0.80/10.0
K. D/STBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+475as offered▲0.7
E. EngramBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs O2.5-13253.4%▲0.710/182.9
E. EngramBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs U2.5+10246.6%▼0.710/182.9
X. WorthyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+300as offered▼0.61/140.1
T. KelceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+190as offered▲0.65/170.3
J. WaddleBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+200as offered▲0.56/160.4
N. GrayBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+850as offered▲0.50/130.0
T. KelceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+950as offered▲0.45/170.3
X. WorthyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+1500as offered▼0.41/140.1
J. JolyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+2800as offered▼0.4
X. WorthyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs O3.5+11244.4%▼0.45/143.0
X. WorthyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs U3.5-14555.6%▲0.45/143.0
N. GrayBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+3500as offered▲0.30/130.0
N. ScorerBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+4500as offered▼0.3
T. KelceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds O41.5-11249.9%▼0.212/1750.1
T. KelceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds U41.5-11450.1%▲0.212/1750.1
J. WileyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+7500as offered▼0.20/10.0
N. AdkinsBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▲0.21/70.1
D. D/STBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2500as offered▼0.1
E. EngramBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds O22.5-11450.1%▲0.19/1827.1
E. EngramBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds U22.5-11249.9%▼0.19/1827.1
T. ThorntonBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs U1.5-14154.6%▼0.16/111.7
T. ThorntonBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs O1.5+10645.4%▲0.16/111.7
N. RemigioBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+8000as offered▲0.10/20.0
N. TouchdownBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+11000as offered▼0.1
A. TrautmanBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs O1.5+18233.3%▲0.17/131.5
A. TrautmanBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs U1.5-24466.7%▼0.17/131.5
X. WorthyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds O36.5-11450.0%▼0.17/1438.0
X. WorthyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds U36.5-11450.0%▲0.17/1438.0
L. HumphreyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+6250as offered▲0.12/90.2
A. PrenticeBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered0/140.0
N. GrayBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs O1.5+13440.1%6/131.6
N. GrayBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs U1.5-17559.9%6/131.6
R. RiceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds O59.5-11450.0%4/871.4
Showing 40 of 146· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.