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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
J. JacobsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-169as offered▲5.810/160.9
A. JonesBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O13.5-11951.0%▲1.77/1216.6
A. JonesBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U13.5-10949.0%▼1.77/1216.6
D. MartinezBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+750as offered▼1.6
M. D/STBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+538as offered▲1.1
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O21.5-11951.1%▲0.95/534.6
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U21.5-10948.9%▼0.95/534.6
Z. ScottBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▼0.71/90.1
P. Strong Jr.BoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▼0.70/110.0
M. LloydBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U1.5+13839.6%▲0.60/11.0
M. LloydBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O1.5-17960.4%▼0.60/11.0
J. JeffersonBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+163as offered▼0.52/170.1
G. BartholomewBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▲0.5
M. RedmanBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▲0.4
B. MeltonBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1200as offered▼0.31/80.1
L. MusgraveBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+4000as offered▲0.30/140.0
A. JonesBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5-11249.7%▼0.37/122.3
A. JonesBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-11550.3%▲0.37/122.3
G. D/STBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+588as offered▲0.3
J. SmithBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+900as offered▼0.3
T. HockensonBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+1900as offered▼0.33/150.2
J. WhyleBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+4750as offered▼0.21/70.1
N. ScorerBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+7000as offered▼0.2
N. ScorerBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+7000as offered▼0.2
J. LoveBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+713as offered▼0.20/160.0
J. JenningsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+12741.3%▲0.211/173.4
J. JenningsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-16758.7%▼0.211/173.4
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+275as offered▲0.21/50.2
A. JonesBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+850as offered▼0.13/120.3
J. AddisonBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O43.5-11450.0%▼0.15/1443.6
J. AddisonBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U43.5-11450.0%▲0.15/1443.6
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs O1.5+11543.6%▼0.12/51.2
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs U1.5-15256.4%▲0.12/51.2
J. SturdivantBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+10000as offered▼0.1
N. TouchdownBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+15000as offered▼0.1
J. OliverBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+3400as offered▲0.13/120.3
M. LloydBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O51.5-11450.1%▼0.10/115.0
M. LloydBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U51.5-11349.9%▲0.10/115.0
J. JeffersonBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O74-11449.9%▼0.17/1761.6
J. JeffersonBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U74-11450.1%▲0.17/1761.6
Showing 40 of 138· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.