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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 4 games
0.5
0
0
1
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+2450
as offered
1.6
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
Anytime TD
+2500
as offered
1.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
Anytime TD
+700
as offered
0.6
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 10 of 16 games
0.5
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+105
as offered
0.6
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 17 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+268
as offered
0.5
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+6000
as offered
0.5
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 3 of 4 · 0.8/game
0.5
1
1
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
0.5
-227
65.1%
0.5
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 pass TDs in 3 of 4 · 0.8/game
0.5
1
1
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
0.5
+169
34.9%
0.5
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 8 of 16 · 4.2/game
4.5
3
3
6
1
0
5
6
6
5
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
4.5
+125
41.6%
0.5
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 8 of 16 · 4.2/game
4.5
3
3
6
1
0
5
6
6
5
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
4.5
-167
58.4%
0.5
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 17 games
0.5
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+410
as offered
0.5
B. SimsBoard
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 3 games
0.5
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+3000
as offered
0.5
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 4 games
0.5
0
0
1
0
Full season →
First TD
+10000
as offered
0.4
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 3 games
0.5
0
0
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
+2500
as offered
0.4
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 38.5 rush yds in 2 of 4 · 30.8/game
38.5
60
44
3
16
Full season →
Rush yds
Over
38.5
-111
49.5%
0.4
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 38.5 rush yds in 2 of 4 · 30.8/game
38.5
60
44
3
16
Full season →
Rush yds
Under
38.5
-116
50.5%
0.4
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 11 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1050
as offered
0.4
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2024: a TD in 0 of 7 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+4000
as offered
0.3
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
First TD
+8000
as offered
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 6 games
0.5
0
0
1
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1775
as offered
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
Anytime TD
+5000
as offered
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 3 of 10 · 1.0/game
1.5
1
1
2
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+132
40.5%
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 3 of 10 · 1.0/game
1.5
1
1
2
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-172
59.5%
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
Anytime TD
+1550
as offered
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
First TD
+2800
as offered
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 12 · 2.9/game
2.5
3
9
1
1
3
3
3
1
5
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+134
40.4%
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 12 · 2.9/game
2.5
3
9
1
1
3
3
3
1
5
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-172
59.6%
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 1.7/game
2.5
3
0
0
3
3
0
0
1
5
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+151
37.4%
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 1.7/game
2.5
3
0
0
3
3
0
0
1
5
1
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-200
62.6%
0.2
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
Anytime TD
+1750
as offered
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 3 games
0.5
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+3150
as offered
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 4 of 17 games
0.5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
Full season →
First TD
+1700
as offered
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
Recs
Over
2.5
+114
43.9%
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
Recs
Under
2.5
-148
56.1%
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 216.5 pass yds in 2 of 10 · 172.1/game
216.5
180
126
197
373
162
234
199
48
173
29
Full season →
Pass yds
Over
216.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 216.5 pass yds in 2 of 10 · 172.1/game
216.5
180
126
197
373
162
234
199
48
173
29
Full season →
Pass yds
Under
216.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 27.5 rec yds in 5 of 17 · 18.6/game
27.5
6
4
23
10
10
30
42
9
48
36
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
27.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 27.5 rec yds in 5 of 17 · 18.6/game
27.5
6
4
23
10
10
30
42
9
48
36
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
27.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 7 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1950
as offered
0.1
MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 11 games
0.5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
First TD
+2850
as offered
0.1

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 125 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.