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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
J. WrightBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲2.42/90.2
A. JeantyBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-160as offered▲2.27/170.6
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼1.61/40.3
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+145as offered▲1.24/120.6
A. JeantyBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+365as offered▲1.17/170.6
D. HermanBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▲1.1
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U5.5+11344.2%▼1.04/125.3
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O5.5-14655.8%▲1.04/125.3
J. NailorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+420as offered▲0.93/170.2
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+13639.9%▲0.87/122.9
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-17960.1%▼0.87/122.9
C. HeywardBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▼0.73/110.3
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O4.5+11843.1%▼0.68/164.2
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U4.5-15456.9%▲0.68/164.2
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+105as offered▲0.610/160.8
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2000as offered▼0.61/60.2
C. RunyonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+6000as offered▼0.50/10.0
M. WashingtonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U27.5-11550.5%▲0.55/1718.6
M. WashingtonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O27.5-11049.5%▼0.55/1718.6
J. WrightBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+1950as offered▲0.52/90.2
B. SimsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+3000as offered▲0.50/30.0
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+10000as offered▼0.41/40.3
I. ThomasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▼0.40/70.0
S. JacksonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▲0.41/30.3
D. Thornton Jr.BoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1050as offered▼0.40/110.0
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+500as offered▲0.31/120.1
C. DouglasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+11344.0%▲0.3
C. DouglasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-14856.0%▼0.3
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+300as offered▼0.31/40.5
J. ReagorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+4000as offered▲0.30/70.0
D. YoungBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+3450as offered▼0.30/30.0
D. HermanBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+8000as offered▲0.2
J. JolyBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2550as offered▼0.2
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+1400as offered▼0.21/40.5
D. EdwardsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+5000as offered▼0.2
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O40.5-11450.0%▼0.27/1740.9
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U40.5-11450.0%▲0.27/1740.9
W. KacmarekBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼0.2
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O3.5-10948.7%▲0.27/173.4
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U3.5-12151.3%▼0.27/173.4
Showing 40 of 125· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.