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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 15 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+675
as offered
1.4
J. D/STBoard
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+400
as offered
0.8
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 7 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1900
as offered
0.7
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Recs
Over
2.5
+121
42.5%
0.6
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Recs
Under
2.5
-157
57.5%
0.6
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 9 of 18 · 1.8/game
1.5
3
3
0
3
5
2
2
3
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-108
48.7%
0.5
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 9 of 18 · 1.8/game
1.5
3
3
0
3
5
2
2
3
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-120
51.3%
0.5
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+2500
as offered
0.5
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+3500
as offered
0.5
I. BondBoard
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 15 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1500
as offered
0.4
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 17.5 rush yds in 10 of 18 · 21.7/game
17.5
31
11
26
20
51
16
25
29
9
35
Full season →
Rush yds
Over
17.5
-110
49.2%
0.4
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 17.5 rush yds in 10 of 18 · 21.7/game
17.5
31
11
26
20
51
16
25
29
9
35
Full season →
Rush yds
Under
17.5
-118
50.8%
0.4
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 2.9/game
2.5
2
5
3
2
3
3
1
3
6
0
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
-171
59.3%
0.4
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 2.9/game
2.5
2
5
3
2
3
3
1
3
6
0
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
+130
40.8%
0.4
N. ScorerBoard
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+3500
as offered
0.3
N. ScorerBoard
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
First TD
+3500
as offered
0.3
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 6 of 16 games
0.5
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
Full season →
First TD
+850
as offered
0.3
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 4.5/game
3.5
2
4
7
8
3
4
2
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-155
57.2%
0.3
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 4.5/game
3.5
2
4
7
8
3
4
2
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
+120
42.8%
0.3
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 6 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+2500
as offered
0.2
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 5 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+2800
as offered
0.2
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 6 of 16 games
0.5
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+325
as offered
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2024: cleared 176.5 pass yds in 2 of 7 · 164.0/game
176.5
128
168
125
176
196
186
169
Full season →
Pass yds
Over
176.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 58.5 rush yds in 8 of 14 · 59.1/game
58.5
22
21
26
91
47
59
75
19
84
36
Full season →
Rush yds
Over
58.5
-114
50.1%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 50.5 rush yds in 2 of 16 · 22.4/game
50.5
51
23
7
5
17
17
74
5
29
22
Full season →
Rush yds
Under
50.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2024: cleared 176.5 pass yds in 2 of 7 · 164.0/game
176.5
128
168
125
176
196
186
169
Full season →
Pass yds
Under
176.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 58.5 rush yds in 8 of 14 · 59.1/game
58.5
22
21
26
91
47
59
75
19
84
36
Full season →
Rush yds
Under
58.5
-113
49.9%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 50.5 rush yds in 2 of 16 · 22.4/game
50.5
51
23
7
5
17
17
74
5
29
22
Full season →
Rush yds
Over
50.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Rec yds
Over
23.5
-114
49.9%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 10 rec yds in 5 of 12 · 14.3/game
10
29
-4
58
18
0
10
-2
0
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
10
-112
49.7%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 14 of 17 · 4.5/game
3.5
1
5
6
4
5
4
6
4
5
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-110
49.3%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 14 of 17 · 4.5/game
3.5
1
5
6
4
5
4
6
4
5
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-117
50.7%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Recs
Over
3.5
-104
47.9%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Recs
Under
3.5
-124
52.1%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 10 of 15 · 3.3/game
2.5
2
3
4
2
4
3
2
3
3
8
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
-155
57.2%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 10 of 15 · 3.3/game
2.5
2
3
4
2
4
3
2
3
3
8
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
+120
42.8%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 52.5 rec yds in 8 of 16 · 59.6/game
52.5
107
87
115
145
53
26
71
20
33
90
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
52.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 52.5 rec yds in 8 of 16 · 59.6/game
52.5
107
87
115
145
53
26
71
20
33
90
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
52.5
-114
50.0%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 34.5 rec yds in 10 of 16 · 45.7/game
34.5
30
34
48
114
43
40
26
44
62
36
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
34.5
-114
49.9%
0.1
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 34.5 rec yds in 10 of 16 · 45.7/game
34.5
30
34
48
114
43
40
26
44
62
36
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
34.5
-115
50.1%
0.1

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 132 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.