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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
D. SampsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+675as offered▼1.42/150.1
J. D/STBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▼0.8
G. LarvadainBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered▲0.70/70.0
D. BostonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5+12142.5%▼0.6
D. BostonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5-15757.5%▲0.6
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5-10848.7%▲0.59/181.8
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-12051.3%▼0.59/181.8
J. RoyerBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▼0.5
A. MarshallBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+3500as offered▼0.5
I. BondBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼0.40/150.0
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O17.5-11049.2%▼0.410/1821.7
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U17.5-11850.8%▲0.410/1821.7
J. JeudyBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5-17159.3%▲0.410/172.9
J. JeudyBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5+13040.8%▼0.410/172.9
N. ScorerBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+3500as offered▲0.3
N. ScorerBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+3500as offered▲0.3
P. WashingtonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+850as offered▲0.36/160.4
H. Fannin Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3.5-15557.2%▲0.311/164.5
H. Fannin Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3.5+12042.8%▼0.311/164.5
B. WhiteheartBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▼0.20/60.0
A. TrammellBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2800as offered▲0.20/50.0
H. Fannin Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+325as offered▼0.16/160.4
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O176.5-11450.0%▼0.12/7164.0
Q. JudkinsBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O58.5-11450.1%▲0.18/1459.1
B. TutenBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U50.5-11450.0%▼0.12/1622.4
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U176.5-11450.0%▲0.12/7164.0
Q. JudkinsBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U58.5-11349.9%▼0.18/1459.1
B. TutenBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O50.5-11450.0%▲0.12/1622.4
D. BostonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O23.5-11449.9%▼0.1
Q. JudkinsBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O10-11249.7%▲0.15/1214.3
J. MeyersBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3.5-11049.3%▼0.114/174.5
J. MeyersBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3.5-11750.7%▲0.114/174.5
K. ConcepcionBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3.5-10447.9%▲0.1
K. ConcepcionBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3.5-12452.1%▼0.1
B. Thomas JrBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5-15557.2%▼0.110/153.3
B. Thomas JrBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5+12042.8%▲0.110/153.3
P. WashingtonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O52.5-11450.0%▼0.18/1659.6
P. WashingtonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U52.5-11450.0%▲0.18/1659.6
H. Fannin Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O34.5-11449.9%▼0.110/1645.7
H. Fannin Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U34.5-11550.1%▲0.110/1645.7
Showing 40 of 48· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.