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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
D. HenryBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O0.5-23365.8%▲32.010/131.2
D. HenryBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U0.5+17634.2%▼32.010/131.2
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-15957.7%▼2.16/131.5
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+12242.3%▲2.16/131.5
J. TaylorBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5+12142.5%▼1.911/162.9
J. TaylorBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5-15957.5%▲1.911/162.9
A. PierceBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3.5+10146.8%▼1.39/153.1
A. PierceBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3.5-13153.3%▲1.39/153.1
L. JacksonBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-13553.8%▲1.36/131.6
L. JacksonBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+10246.2%▼1.36/131.6
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5+10545.9%▲1.18/174.5
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5-13654.1%▼1.18/174.5
J. DownsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+255as offered▲1.14/160.3
D. HenryBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD-211as offered▼0.99/170.9
N. Westbrook-IkhineBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼0.90/90.0
M. AndrewsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+185as offered▼0.94/170.4
I. D/STBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+550as offered▲0.8
A. PierceBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+258as offered▼0.84/150.4
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O9.5-10548.4%▼0.82/811.6
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U9.5-12051.6%▲0.82/811.6
Z. FlowersBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5+11543.6%▼0.710/175.1
Z. FlowersBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5-15256.4%▲0.710/175.1
L. WesterBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼0.7
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U10.5-11049.3%▼0.75/1312.6
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O10.5-11650.7%▲0.75/1312.6
R. BatemanBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+337as offered▼0.62/130.2
M. Alie-CoxBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▲0.61/110.1
B. D/STBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+550as offered▲0.6
W. MalloryBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+3500as offered▼0.50/20.0
M. HibnerBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1850as offered▼0.4
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+475as offered▼0.44/130.4
U. Bentley IVBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+4000as offered▼0.30/10.0
I. DefenseBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+3300as offered▼0.3
R. AliBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1250as offered▼0.31/80.1
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+2500as offered▲0.32/90.3
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O48.5-11450.0%▼0.37/1748.1
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U48.5-11450.0%▲0.37/1748.1
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+220as offered▼0.35/170.3
A. GouldBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+3000as offered▼0.20/20.0
L. JacksonBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1400as offered▲0.22/130.2
Showing 40 of 64· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.