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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-200
62.4%
25.1
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
+149
37.6%
25.1
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 6 of 11 · 7.9/game
6.5
10
8
16
1
7
15
6
16
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
6.5
-112
49.5%
1.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 6 of 11 · 7.9/game
6.5
10
8
16
1
7
15
6
16
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
6.5
-117
50.5%
1.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 4 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1000
as offered
1.4
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+1300
as offered
1.2
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 8 games
0.5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
+800
as offered
1.1
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 5 games
0.5
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+900
as offered
0.9
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 6 of 14 games
0.5
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
+420
as offered
0.8
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 9 games
0.5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+225
as offered
0.7
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 18 · 4.3/game
3.5
4
8
3
5
7
6
2
6
7
2
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
+127
41.5%
0.6
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 18 · 4.3/game
3.5
4
8
3
5
7
6
2
6
7
2
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-164
58.5%
0.6
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 14 games
0.5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+328
as offered
0.6
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+6000
as offered
0.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 21.5 rush yds in 8 of 17 · 32.8/game
21.5
20
10
26
50
80
15
20
92
24
Full season →
Rush yds
Over
21.5
-110
49.5%
0.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 21.5 rush yds in 8 of 17 · 32.8/game
21.5
20
10
26
50
80
15
20
92
24
Full season →
Rush yds
Under
21.5
-115
50.5%
0.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 21.5 rec yds in 10 of 18 · 28.4/game
21.5
26
64
12
78
46
27
25
30
81
4
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
21.5
-115
50.5%
0.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 28.5 rec yds in 7 of 15 · 38.1/game
28.5
94
33
15
19
9
21
28
82
40
65
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
28.5
-114
50.0%
0.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 28.5 rec yds in 7 of 15 · 38.1/game
28.5
94
33
15
19
9
21
28
82
40
65
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
28.5
-114
50.0%
0.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 21.5 rec yds in 10 of 18 · 28.4/game
21.5
26
64
12
78
46
27
25
30
81
4
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
21.5
-110
49.5%
0.5
T. D/STBoard
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
First TD
+3300
as offered
0.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+1600
as offered
0.5
E. AllBoard
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2024: a TD in 0 of 8 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+488
as offered
0.4
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
+413
as offered
0.4
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 15 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
Full season →
First TD
+1600
as offered
0.4
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 15 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+280
as offered
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+3500
as offered
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 8 of 15 · 3.9/game
3.5
7
4
2
3
2
4
2
9
4
7
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
+122
42.2%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 8 of 15 · 3.9/game
3.5
7
4
2
3
2
4
2
9
4
7
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-161
57.8%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 15 · 3.9/game
4.5
6
4
3
6
5
3
7
1
6
5
Full season →
Recs
Over
4.5
-146
55.9%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 15 · 3.9/game
4.5
6
4
3
6
5
3
7
1
6
5
Full season →
Recs
Under
4.5
+113
44.1%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 9 games
0.5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
First TD
+1600
as offered
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
First TD
+6250
as offered
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 6 of 18 games
0.5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+200
as offered
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-120
51.1%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-110
48.9%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 41.5 rec yds in 3 of 9 · 40.0/game
41.5
8
108
30
20
55
78
9
26
26
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
41.5
-114
50.0%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 41.5 rec yds in 3 of 9 · 40.0/game
41.5
8
108
30
20
55
78
9
26
26
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
41.5
-114
50.0%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 5 games
0.5
0
0
0
Full season →
First TD
+4500
as offered
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 53.5 rec yds in 7 of 17 · 55.2/game
53.5
8
20
40
64
15
42
32
40
115
35
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
53.5
-115
50.1%
0.3

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 136 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.