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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
5.5
+115
43.4%
6.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
5.5
-154
56.6%
6.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.5/game
1.5
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
+112
47.2%
2.8
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
3.5
5
0
4
3
2
5
2
3
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
+116
43.3%
2.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
3.5
5
0
4
3
2
5
2
3
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-154
56.7%
2.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 13 of 16 · 15.9/game
6.5
26
-2
9
9
13
19
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
6.5
-108
48.4%
1.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 13 of 16 · 15.9/game
6.5
26
-2
9
9
13
19
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
6.5
-123
51.6%
1.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Recs
Over
1.5
+117
43.3%
1.4
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Recs
Under
1.5
-152
56.7%
1.4
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 10 of 17 games
0.5
0
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
+115
as offered
1.1
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 16 games
0.5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+900
as offered
1.1
S. D/STBoard
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Anytime TD
+488
as offered
1.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 5 of 21 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
Full season →
First TD
+1400
as offered
1.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 4 of 20 games
0.5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+650
as offered
0.8
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 4 of 7 games
0.5
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
+738
as offered
0.8
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 13 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+650
as offered
0.8
N. D/STBoard
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Anytime TD
+563
as offered
0.8
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Anytime TD
+2800
as offered
0.8
D. MayeBoard
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 4 of 21 games
0.5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+420
as offered
0.8
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Anytime TD
+2000
as offered
0.8
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 13 of 20 · 6.8/game
6.5
4
10
3
6
9
8
7
7
2
8
Full season →
Recs
Over
6.5
-103
47.8%
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 13 of 20 · 6.8/game
6.5
4
10
3
6
9
8
7
7
2
8
Full season →
Recs
Under
6.5
-125
52.3%
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 2 games
0.5
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+1500
as offered
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 19.5 rush yds in 16 of 21 · 47.0/game
19.5
19
5
25
27
53
82
3
148
67
66
Full season →
Rush yds
Under
19.5
-120
50.8%
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 19.5 rush yds in 16 of 21 · 47.0/game
19.5
19
5
25
27
53
82
3
148
67
66
Full season →
Rush yds
Over
19.5
-112
49.2%
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 rush yds in 6 of 10 · 9.1/game
2.5
-5
0
27
31
-3
9
5
Full season →
Rush yds
Over
2.5
-119
50.7%
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 rush yds in 6 of 10 · 9.1/game
2.5
-5
0
27
31
-3
9
5
Full season →
Rush yds
Under
2.5
-112
49.3%
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 10 of 20 games
0.5
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
Full season →
First TD
+750
as offered
0.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.5/game
1.5
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
-145
55.6%
0.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 4 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+2450
as offered
0.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 1 of 6 games
0.5
0
0
0
1
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+185
as offered
0.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2024: a TD in 1 of 9 games
0.5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+4500
as offered
0.6
C. KinerBoard
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
First TD
+2450
as offered
0.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 9 of 21 · 3.3/game
3.5
3
2
1
3
5
3
6
1
4
7
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
+124
42.0%
0.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 9 of 21 · 3.3/game
3.5
3
2
1
3
5
3
6
1
4
7
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-160
58.0%
0.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Anytime TD
+2000
as offered
0.5
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+4250
as offered
0.5
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 10 of 20 games
0.5
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
Full season →
Anytime TD
+133
as offered
0.5
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: a TD in 6 of 18 games
0.5
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+108
as offered
0.5
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 12 of 19 · 2.1/game
1.5
5
0
2
1
2
1
1
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
-180
60.3%
0.4

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 151 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.