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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
J. JacobsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-169as offered▲5.810/160.9
D. NealBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲4.62/90.2
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
J. WrightBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲2.42/90.2
J. D/STBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+380as offered▲2.3
J. EndriesBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+700as offered▼2.3
A. JeantyBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-160as offered▲2.27/170.6
J. WilliamsBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMAnytime TD-155as offered▼2.110/160.8
J. SmallBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲1.8
J. HurtsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+124as offered▼1.76/170.5
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼1.61/40.3
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+285as offered▼1.65/210.5
B. KnightBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+380as offered▲1.65/100.5
D. MartinezBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+750as offered▼1.6
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▼1.61/110.1
B. NixBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+450as offered▲1.54/180.3
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+120as offered▲1.56/170.5
S. D/STBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+525as offered▼1.5
F. Gore Jr.BoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼1.40/10.0
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+663as offered▲1.41/110.1
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.33/130.2
J. McLaughlinBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered▼1.31/100.1
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+145as offered▲1.24/120.6
T. HortonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▼1.24/70.7
K. ConcepcionBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+488as offered▼1.2
M. D/STBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+538as offered▲1.1
J. WilliamsBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMFirst TD+455as offered▼1.110/160.8
E. StowersBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1600as offered▲1.1
Z. CharbonnetBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+115as offered▼1.110/170.7
M. TinsleyBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▲1.12/80.3
A. JeantyBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+365as offered▲1.17/170.6
G. DortchBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+550as offered▲1.14/120.3
K. LatuBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▲1.10/20.0
D. HermanBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▲1.1
D. DouglasBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+700as offered▼1.14/200.2
J. Smith-NjigbaBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMFirst TD+800as offered▼1.010/200.6
M. LemonBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+385as offered▲1.0
C. OkonkwoBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+410as offered▲1.02/170.1
J. CowingBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1050as offered▲1.00/30.0
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+800as offered▼1.011/190.7
Showing 40 of 1,192· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.