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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.33/130.2
D. SamuelBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+338as offered▼1.16/160.4
K. MumpfieldBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1050as offered▼0.81/120.1
K. WilliamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+500as offered▼0.713/200.8
J. TongesBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+500as offered▼0.75/110.5
L. D/STBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▲0.6
J. TongesBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+2800as offered▲0.55/110.5
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+775as offered▼0.52/160.1
D. AdamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+123as offered▲0.510/170.9
J. WhittingtonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+838as offered▼0.40/140.0
C. ParkinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+420as offered▼0.47/170.5
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD-149as offered▼0.413/191.0
S. DefenseBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4000as offered▼0.3
J. WhittingtonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4000as offered▼0.30/140.0
X. SmithBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1225as offered▼0.30/100.0
L. FarrellBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1300as offered▲0.22/110.2
J. JordanBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+950as offered▼0.2
S. D/STBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+2650as offered▲0.2
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+155as offered▲0.25/200.3
T. HigbeeBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+550as offered▼0.13/120.3
B. WillisBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1200as offered0/10.0
B. WillisBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4500as offered0/10.0
R. RiversBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+2800as offered0/30.0
N. ScorerBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+8000as offered
J. CowingBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1050as offered0/30.0
J. WatkinsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1300as offered0/20.0
T. AtwellBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+500as offered13/191.0
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+800as offered11/190.7
T. FergusonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+2000as offered3/130.2
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+2800as offered2/110.3
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered0/150.0
N. TouchdownBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+16000as offered
L. DefenseBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+3500as offered
L. FarrellBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+5250as offered2/110.2
N. ScorerBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+8000as offered
J. CowingBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4000as offered0/30.0
J. WatkinsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4000as offered0/20.0
T. AtwellBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+10000as offered
Showing 40 of 73· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.