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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
NFL1 priced · median of 11 books, de-vigged
CHI at CAR BoardSUN 1:00 PM
MLCHI-16459.6%1.2
CAR+13840.4%1.2
SpreadCAR +3-1101.1
TotalO/U 47-1100.3

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.