The Market
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 rush yds in 7 of 15 · 1.1/game
Full season →0.5
+119
43.3%
▲1.7SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 rush yds in 7 of 15 · 1.1/game
Full season →0.5
-149
56.7%
▼1.7SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 rush yds in 9 of 10 · 12.9/game
Full season →2.5
-111
49.6%
▼1.1SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 rush yds in 9 of 10 · 12.9/game
Full season →2.5
-115
50.4%
▲1.1GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 22.5 rush yds in 5 of 5 · 34.6/game
Full season →22.5
-114
49.9%
▲0.9GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 22.5 rush yds in 5 of 5 · 34.6/game
Full season →22.5
-115
50.1%
▼0.9BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 9.5 rush yds in 2 of 8 · 11.6/game
Full season →9.5
-105
48.4%
▼0.8BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 9.5 rush yds in 2 of 8 · 11.6/game
Full season →9.5
-120
51.6%
▲0.8NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 19.5 rush yds in 16 of 21 · 47.0/game
19.5
19—
5—
25—
27—
53—
82—
3—
148—
67—
66—
Full season →19.5
-120
50.8%
▲0.7NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 19.5 rush yds in 16 of 21 · 47.0/game
19.5
19—
5—
25—
27—
53—
82—
3—
148—
67—
66—
Full season →19.5
-112
49.2%
▼0.7NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 rush yds in 6 of 10 · 9.1/game
Full season →2.5
-119
50.7%
▲0.7NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 rush yds in 6 of 10 · 9.1/game
Full season →2.5
-112
49.3%
▼0.7BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 10.5 rush yds in 5 of 13 · 12.6/game
10.5
4—
1—
16—
53—
4—
3—
7—
20—
2—
-1—
Full season →10.5
-110
49.3%
▼0.7BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 10.5 rush yds in 5 of 13 · 12.6/game
10.5
4—
1—
16—
53—
4—
3—
7—
20—
2—
-1—
Full season →10.5
-116
50.7%
▲0.7NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 16.5 rush yds in 5 of 10 · 18.6/game
16.5
34—
6—
8—
32—
55—
18—
22—
-3—
2—
12—
Full season →16.5
-114
50.0%
▼0.5NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 16.5 rush yds in 5 of 10 · 18.6/game
16.5
34—
6—
8—
32—
55—
18—
22—
-3—
2—
12—
Full season →16.5
-114
50.0%
▲0.5TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 21.5 rush yds in 8 of 17 · 32.8/game
21.5
20—
10—
26—
50—
80—
15—
20—
92—
24—
Full season →21.5
-110
49.5%
▼0.5TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 21.5 rush yds in 8 of 17 · 32.8/game
21.5
20—
10—
26—
50—
80—
15—
20—
92—
24—
Full season →21.5
-115
50.5%
▲0.5ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 rush yds in 9 of 13 · 4.7/game
Full season →0.5
-110
49.5%
▼0.5ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 rush yds in 9 of 13 · 4.7/game
Full season →0.5
-116
50.5%
▲0.5CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 17.5 rush yds in 10 of 18 · 21.7/game
17.5
31—
11—
26—
20—
51—
16—
25—
29—
9—
35—
Full season →17.5
-110
49.2%
▼0.4CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 17.5 rush yds in 10 of 18 · 21.7/game
17.5
31—
11—
26—
20—
51—
16—
25—
29—
9—
35—
Full season →17.5
-118
50.8%
▲0.4NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 rush yds in 7 of 14 · 7.8/game
Full season →5.5
-112
49.8%
▼0.3NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 rush yds in 7 of 14 · 7.8/game
Full season →5.5
-114
50.2%
▲0.3WSH at PHI · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 40.5 rush yds in 6 of 17 · 47.4/game
40.5
29—
105—
25—
96—
32—
20—
28—
30—
38—
25—
Full season →40.5
-115
50.3%
▲0.3WSH at PHI · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 40.5 rush yds in 6 of 17 · 47.4/game
40.5
29—
105—
25—
96—
32—
20—
28—
30—
38—
25—
Full season →40.5
-112
49.7%
▼0.3SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 46.5 rush yds in 9 of 20 · 43.3/game
46.5
55—
19—
45—
59—
18—
48—
71—
128—
81—
24—
Full season →46.5
-115
50.3%
▲0.3SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 46.5 rush yds in 9 of 20 · 43.3/game
46.5
55—
19—
45—
59—
18—
48—
71—
128—
81—
24—
Full season →46.5
-112
49.7%
▼0.3BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 10.5 rush yds in 9 of 16 · 13.8/game
10.5
11—
0—
5—
0—
0—
10—
5—
0—
12—
30—
Full season →10.5
-112
49.7%
▲0.3BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 10.5 rush yds in 9 of 16 · 13.8/game
10.5
11—
0—
5—
0—
0—
10—
5—
0—
12—
30—
Full season →10.5
-115
50.3%
▼0.3DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 18.5 rush yds in 12 of 19 · 31.4/game
18.5
37—
20—
28—
43—
50—
65—
75—
35—
30—
9—
Full season →18.5
-112
49.7%
▲0.3DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 18.5 rush yds in 12 of 19 · 31.4/game
18.5
37—
20—
28—
43—
50—
65—
75—
35—
30—
9—
Full season →18.5
-115
50.3%
▼0.3GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2024: cleared 48.5 rush yds in 0 of 1 · 15.0/game
Full season →48.5
-114
50.1%
▲0.3GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2024: cleared 48.5 rush yds in 0 of 1 · 15.0/game
Full season →48.5
-113
49.9%
▼0.3ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 66.5 rush yds in 3 of 10 · 54.4/game
66.5
-1—
29—
85—
61—
56—
44—
128—
70—
24—
48—
Full season →66.5
-114
50.3%
▲0.2ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 66.5 rush yds in 3 of 10 · 54.4/game
66.5
-1—
29—
85—
61—
56—
44—
128—
70—
24—
48—
Full season →66.5
-112
49.7%
▼0.2MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 67 rush yds in 9 of 16 · 84.4/game
67
83—
81—
60—
92—
134—
120—
174—
67—
67—
82—
Full season →67
-114
50.1%
▼0.2MIA at LV · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 67 rush yds in 9 of 16 · 84.4/game
67
83—
81—
60—
92—
134—
120—
174—
67—
67—
82—
Full season →67
-114
49.9%
▲0.2CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rush yds in 7 of 17 · 14.1/game
14.5
24—
-1—
27—
20—
49—
23—
15—
-1—
6—
9—
Full season →14.5
-114
50.2%
▲0.2CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rush yds in 7 of 17 · 14.1/game
14.5
24—
-1—
27—
20—
49—
23—
15—
-1—
6—
9—
Full season →14.5
-112
49.8%
▼0.2Showing 40 of 174 priced selections.
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.