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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O2.5-11650.7%▼1.19/1012.9
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U2.5-11049.3%▲1.19/1012.9
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O21.5-11951.1%▲0.95/534.6
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U21.5-10948.9%▼0.95/534.6
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O17.5-11449.6%▼0.810/1821.7
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U17.5-11850.4%▲0.810/1821.7
J. BurrowBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O6.5-11650.5%▼0.82/66.8
J. BurrowBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U6.5-11149.5%▲0.82/66.8
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O20-11249.6%▼0.73/721.1
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U20-11650.4%▲0.73/721.1
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U19.5-12050.8%▲0.716/2147.0
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O19.5-11249.2%▼0.716/2147.0
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O5.5-11449.9%▼0.67/147.8
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U5.5-11550.1%▲0.67/147.8
B. MayfieldBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O15.5-11450.0%▼0.310/1427.3
B. MayfieldBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U15.5-11450.0%▲0.310/1427.3
J. DartBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMRush yds O30-11650.4%▲0.38/1434.8
J. DartBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMRush yds U30-11249.6%▼0.38/1434.8
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O43.5-11450.0%▼0.311/1758.9
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U43.5-11450.0%▲0.311/1758.9
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O14.5-11450.0%▲0.37/1714.1
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U14.5-11450.0%▼0.37/1714.1
S. PerineBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O20.5-11449.9%▲0.19/1329.4
S. PerineBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U20.5-11550.1%▼0.19/1329.4
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O64.5-11550.3%▼0.17/1666.6
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U64.5-11249.7%▲0.17/1666.6
B. AllenBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O18.5-11450.0%▼0.12/419.0
B. AllenBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U18.5-11450.0%▲0.12/419.0
J. PriceBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O53.5-11550.1%▲0.1
J. PriceBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U53.5-11449.9%▼0.1
R. DowdleBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O43.5-11449.9%▼0.110/1860.3
R. DowdleBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U43.5-11550.1%▲0.110/1860.3
J. DanielsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O36.5-11450.0%▼0.14/739.7
J. DanielsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U36.5-11450.0%▲0.14/739.7
R. WhiteBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O23.5-11450.0%▼0.110/1733.6
R. WhiteBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U23.5-11450.0%▲0.110/1733.6
K. WilliamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O55.5-11450.0%▲0.116/2071.8
K. WilliamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U55.5-11450.0%▼0.116/2071.8
B. IrvingBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O57.5-11450.0%▼0.17/1058.8
B. IrvingBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U57.5-11450.0%▲0.17/1058.8
Showing 40 of 156· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.