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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O24.5-11850.8%▲0.811/2129.9
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U24.5-11049.2%▼0.811/2129.9
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O16.5-11450.0%▲0.810/1821.7
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U16.5-11450.0%▼0.810/1821.7
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U19.5-12050.8%▲0.716/2147.0
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O19.5-11249.2%▼0.716/2147.0
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O65.5-11249.7%▼0.57/1666.6
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U65.5-11450.3%▲0.57/1666.6
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O20.5-10949.1%▼0.53/721.1
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U20.5-11850.9%▲0.53/721.1
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O18-11750.5%▲0.55/1118.9
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U18-11249.5%▼0.55/1118.9
T. Etienne Jr.BoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U56.5-11149.6%▼0.410/1865.2
T. Etienne Jr.BoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O56.5-11550.4%▲0.410/1865.2
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O38.5-11149.5%▼0.42/430.8
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U38.5-11650.5%▲0.42/430.8
J. DartBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMRush yds O30.5-11550.1%▼0.48/1434.8
J. DartBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMRush yds U30.5-11449.9%▲0.48/1434.8
J. DanielsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O36.5-11249.7%▼0.34/739.7
J. DanielsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U36.5-11650.3%▲0.34/739.7
O. HamptonBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O66.5-11450.0%▼0.33/1054.4
O. HamptonBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U66.5-11450.0%▲0.33/1054.4
J. Croskey-MerrittBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O40.5-11450.0%▼0.36/1747.4
J. Croskey-MerrittBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U40.5-11450.0%▲0.36/1747.4
K. GainwellBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O22.5-11049.2%▼0.37/1732.8
K. GainwellBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U22.5-11850.8%▲0.37/1732.8
C. Rodriguez Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O35.5-11449.9%▼0.38/1241.7
C. Rodriguez Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U35.5-11550.1%▲0.38/1241.7
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O14.5-11450.0%▲0.27/1714.1
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U14.5-11450.0%▼0.27/1714.1
J. AllenBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O30.5-11650.3%▲0.111/1837.7
J. AllenBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U30.5-11449.7%▼0.111/1837.7
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O46.5-11550.1%▼0.19/2043.3
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U46.5-11449.9%▲0.19/2043.3
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds O15.5-11349.9%▲0.19/1430.1
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds U15.5-11450.1%▼0.19/1430.1
J. LoveBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O10.5-11149.3%▲0.19/1613.1
J. LoveBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U10.5-11850.7%▼0.19/1613.1
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O59.5-11449.9%▼0.18/1967.6
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U59.5-11550.1%▲0.18/1967.6
Showing 40 of 48· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.