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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O0.5+11943.3%▲1.77/151.1
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U0.5-14956.7%▼1.77/151.1
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O2.5-11149.6%▼1.19/1012.9
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U2.5-11550.4%▲1.19/1012.9
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O46.5-11550.3%▲0.39/2043.3
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U46.5-11249.7%▼0.39/2043.3
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U59.5-11450.0%8/1967.6
K. WilliamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O53.5-11450.0%17/2071.8
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O59.5-11450.0%8/1967.6
K. WilliamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U53.5-11450.0%17/2071.8
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O18-11450.0%5/1118.9
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U18-11450.0%5/1118.9
Showing 12 of 12· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.