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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U19.5-12050.8%▲0.716/2147.0
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O19.5-11249.2%▼0.716/2147.0
R. ShaheedBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O2.5-11950.7%▲0.76/109.1
R. ShaheedBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U2.5-11249.3%▼0.76/109.1
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U5.5-11249.8%▼0.37/147.8
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O5.5-11450.2%▲0.37/147.8
J. PriceBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O53.5-11550.1%
J. PriceBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U53.5-11449.9%
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O24.5-11450.0%11/2129.9
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U24.5-11450.0%11/2129.9
G. HolaniBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O19.5-11450.0%2/613.8
G. HolaniBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U19.5-11450.0%2/613.8
R. StevensonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O57.5-11450.0%4/1845.6
R. StevensonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U57.5-11450.0%4/1845.6
Showing 14 of 14· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.