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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
0.5
0
1
1
2
2
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
0.5
-233
65.8%
32.0
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
0.5
0
1
1
2
2
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Under
0.5
+176
34.2%
32.0
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
2.5
4
2
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+146
38.3%
23.5
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
2.5
4
2
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-190
61.7%
23.5
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
1.5
2
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
-185
60.9%
22.4
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
1.5
2
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
+140
39.1%
22.4
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3
2
10
4
7
3
11
5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
4.5
-149
56.3%
7.9
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3
2
10
4
7
3
11
5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
4.5
+116
43.7%
7.9
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
5.5
+115
43.4%
6.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
5.5
-154
56.6%
6.7
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
2.5
5
2
3
4
1
5
3
1
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+100
47.0%
3.4
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
2.5
5
2
3
4
1
5
3
1
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-130
53.0%
3.4
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
3.5
6
2
5
7
7
7
0
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
+117
43.2%
3.3
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
3.5
6
2
5
7
7
7
0
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-153
56.8%
3.3
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
2.5
2
4
3
4
2
3
1
1
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
-149
56.6%
3.0
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
2.5
2
4
3
4
2
3
1
1
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
+118
43.4%
3.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.5/game
1.5
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
+112
47.2%
2.8
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11
8
4
13
6
0
9
2
5
9
Full season →
Recs
Over
6.5
-114
49.9%
2.5
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11
8
4
13
6
0
9
2
5
9
Full season →
Recs
Under
6.5
-114
50.1%
2.5
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
1.5
1
6
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
+159
36.3%
2.5
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
1.5
1
6
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
-211
63.7%
2.5
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 3.4/game
2.5
2
1
4
2
5
3
4
5
4
6
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+140
39.2%
2.1
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 3.4/game
2.5
2
1
4
2
5
3
4
5
4
6
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-183
60.8%
2.1
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 8 of 12 · 2.4/game
1.5
1
1
2
5
1
3
3
3
4
2
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
-118
50.8%
2.1
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 8 of 12 · 2.4/game
1.5
1
1
2
5
1
3
3
3
4
2
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
-110
49.2%
2.1
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
3.5
5
0
4
3
2
5
2
3
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
+116
43.3%
2.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
3.5
5
0
4
3
2
5
2
3
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-154
56.7%
2.0
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.9/game
2.5
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
+121
42.5%
1.9
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.9/game
2.5
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
-159
57.5%
1.9
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rec yds in 7 of 12 · 16.6/game
14.5
10
8
31
0
22
16
11
22
20
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
14.5
-118
50.9%
1.9
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rec yds in 7 of 12 · 16.6/game
14.5
10
8
31
0
22
16
11
22
20
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
14.5
-110
49.1%
1.9
R. RiceBoard
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 6 of 8 · 6.6/game
5.5
7
4
8
8
6
4
9
7
Full season →
Recs
Over
5.5
-122
51.5%
1.7
R. RiceBoard
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 6 of 8 · 6.6/game
5.5
7
4
8
8
6
4
9
7
Full season →
Recs
Under
5.5
-108
48.5%
1.7
ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 7.4/game
6.5
7
10
4
12
5
8
9
10
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Over
6.5
+116
43.5%
1.6
ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 7.4/game
6.5
7
10
4
12
5
8
9
10
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Under
6.5
-150
56.5%
1.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 13 of 16 · 15.9/game
6.5
26
-2
9
9
13
19
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
6.5
-108
48.4%
1.6
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 13 of 16 · 15.9/game
6.5
26
-2
9
9
13
19
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
6.5
-123
51.6%
1.6
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 6 of 11 · 7.9/game
6.5
10
8
16
1
7
15
6
16
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
6.5
-112
49.5%
1.5
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 rec yds in 6 of 11 · 7.9/game
6.5
10
8
16
1
7
15
6
16
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
6.5
-117
50.5%
1.5
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
Recs
Over
1.5
+117
43.3%
1.4

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 674 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.