The Market
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
Full season →1.5
-200
62.4%
▲25.1TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
Full season →1.5
+149
37.6%
▼25.1NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
+190
32.6%
▼17.8NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
-250
67.4%
▲17.8BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
-159
57.7%
▼2.1BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
+122
42.3%
▲2.1NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 4 of 17 · 0.9/game
Full season →1.5
+165
35.5%
▲1.4NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 4 of 17 · 0.9/game
Full season →1.5
-220
64.5%
▼1.4BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.6/game
Full season →1.5
-135
53.8%
▲1.3BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.6/game
Full season →1.5
+102
46.2%
▼1.3DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 18 · 1.6/game
Full season →1.5
+136
39.7%
▲1.2DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 18 · 1.6/game
Full season →1.5
-180
60.3%
▼1.2ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
-200
62.6%
▼1.1ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
+151
37.4%
▲1.1ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1 pass TDs in 7 of 14 · 1.4/game
Full season →1
+118
48.6%
▼1.0ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1 pass TDs in 7 of 14 · 1.4/game
Full season →1
+107
51.4%
▲1.0CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 17 · 1.4/game
Full season →1.5
+111
44.4%
▲0.8CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 17 · 1.4/game
Full season →1.5
-146
55.6%
▼0.8NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 17 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
-200
62.5%
▲0.8NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 17 · 2.0/game
Full season →1.5
+150
37.5%
▼0.8DAL at NYG · NFL · SUN 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 12 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
+130
40.8%
▼0.6DAL at NYG · NFL · SUN 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 12 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
-169
59.2%
▲0.6CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 9 of 18 · 1.8/game
Full season →1.5
-108
48.7%
▲0.5CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 9 of 18 · 1.8/game
Full season →1.5
-120
51.3%
▼0.5GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 16 · 1.7/game
Full season →1.5
+102
46.6%
▲0.4GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 16 · 1.7/game
Full season →1.5
-132
53.4%
▼0.4NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 13 of 21 · 1.8/game
Full season →1.5
+130
41.0%
▲0.4NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 13 of 21 · 1.8/game
Full season →1.5
-168
59.0%
▼0.4NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 3 of 11 · 0.9/game
Full season →1.5
+124
42.0%
▲0.4NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 3 of 11 · 0.9/game
Full season →1.5
-161
58.0%
▼0.4ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 17 · 1.4/game
Full season →1.5
+118
42.9%
▲0.3ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 17 · 1.4/game
Full season →1.5
-156
57.1%
▼0.3BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 16 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
-156
57.3%
▼0.3BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 16 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
+120
42.7%
▲0.3ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 237.5 pass yds in 7 of 17 · 228.6/game
237.5
159—
236—
300—
210—
139—
151—
81—
220—
250—
227—
Full season →237.5
-114
50.2%
▲0.3ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 237.5 pass yds in 7 of 17 · 228.6/game
237.5
159—
236—
300—
210—
139—
151—
81—
220—
250—
227—
Full season →237.5
-112
49.8%
▼0.3TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
-120
51.1%
▲0.3TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
-110
48.9%
▼0.3BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 18 · 1.6/game
Full season →1.5
+152
37.2%
▲0.2BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 18 · 1.6/game
Full season →1.5
-202
62.8%
▼0.2Showing 40 of 128 priced selections.
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.