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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-200
62.4%
25.1
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
+149
37.6%
25.1
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+190
32.6%
17.8
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-250
67.4%
17.8
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
1.5
0
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
2
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-159
57.7%
2.1
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
1.5
0
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
2
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+122
42.3%
2.1
C. WardBoard
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 4 of 17 · 0.9/game
1.5
0
2
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+165
35.5%
1.4
C. WardBoard
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 4 of 17 · 0.9/game
1.5
0
2
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-220
64.5%
1.4
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.6/game
1.5
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-135
53.8%
1.3
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.6/game
1.5
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+102
46.2%
1.3
B. NixBoard
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 18 · 1.6/game
1.5
3
0
1
1
4
0
1
0
1
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+136
39.7%
1.2
B. NixBoard
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 18 · 1.6/game
1.5
3
0
1
1
4
0
1
0
1
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-180
60.3%
1.2
ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
1.5
0
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
2
3
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-200
62.6%
1.1
ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
1.5
0
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
2
3
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
+151
37.4%
1.1
ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1 pass TDs in 7 of 14 · 1.4/game
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
4
0
1
3
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1
+118
48.6%
1.0
ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1 pass TDs in 7 of 14 · 1.4/game
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
4
0
1
3
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1
+107
51.4%
1.0
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 17 · 1.4/game
1.5
1
2
0
2
1
3
1
3
0
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+111
44.4%
0.8
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 7 of 17 · 1.4/game
1.5
1
2
0
2
1
3
1
3
0
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-146
55.6%
0.8
J. GoffBoard
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 17 · 2.0/game
1.5
1
1
3
3
1
2
2
1
3
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-200
62.5%
0.8
J. GoffBoard
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 17 · 2.0/game
1.5
1
1
3
3
1
2
2
1
3
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
+150
37.5%
0.8
J. DartBoard
DAL at NYG · NFL · SUN 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 12 · 1.3/game
1.5
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
1
3
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+130
40.8%
0.6
J. DartBoard
DAL at NYG · NFL · SUN 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 12 · 1.3/game
1.5
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
1
3
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-169
59.2%
0.6
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 9 of 18 · 1.8/game
1.5
3
3
0
3
5
2
2
3
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-108
48.7%
0.5
CLE at JAX · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 9 of 18 · 1.8/game
1.5
3
3
0
3
5
2
2
3
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-120
51.3%
0.5
J. LoveBoard
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 16 · 1.7/game
1.5
4
0
1
3
4
0
2
0
0
3
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+102
46.6%
0.4
J. LoveBoard
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 16 · 1.7/game
1.5
4
0
1
3
4
0
2
0
0
3
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-132
53.4%
0.4
D. MayeBoard
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 13 of 21 · 1.8/game
1.5
2
0
3
1
1
5
2
0
2
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+130
41.0%
0.4
D. MayeBoard
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 13 of 21 · 1.8/game
1.5
2
0
3
1
1
5
2
0
2
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-168
59.0%
0.4
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 3 of 11 · 0.9/game
1.5
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
1
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+124
42.0%
0.4
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 3 of 11 · 0.9/game
1.5
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
1
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-161
58.0%
0.4
ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 17 · 1.4/game
1.5
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+118
42.9%
0.3
ATL at PIT · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 17 · 1.4/game
1.5
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-156
57.1%
0.3
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 16 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
0
0
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-156
57.3%
0.3
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 16 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
0
0
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+120
42.7%
0.3
ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 237.5 pass yds in 7 of 17 · 228.6/game
237.5
159
236
300
210
139
151
81
220
250
227
Full season →
Pass yds
Over
237.5
-114
50.2%
0.3
ARI at LAC · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 237.5 pass yds in 7 of 17 · 228.6/game
237.5
159
236
300
210
139
151
81
220
250
227
Full season →
Pass yds
Under
237.5
-112
49.8%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-120
51.1%
0.3
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 8 of 17 · 1.5/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-110
48.9%
0.3
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 18 · 1.6/game
1.5
3
1
0
0
3
3
1
0
3
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+152
37.2%
0.2
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 10 of 18 · 1.6/game
1.5
3
1
0
0
3
3
1
0
3
2
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-202
62.8%
0.2

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 128 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.