
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
| Player | Game | Market | Line | Price | Imp% | 24h▼ | Hit | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 2.5 | +151 | 37.3% | ▼13.0 | 3/8 | 2.1 |
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 2.5 | -202 | 62.7% | ▲13.0 | 3/8 | 2.1 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -164 | 58.4% | ▼1.7 | 3/11 | 0.9 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +126 | 41.6% | ▲1.7 | 3/11 | 0.9 |
| L. JacksonBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -103 | 47.5% | ▲0.8 | 6/13 | 1.6 |
| L. JacksonBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -127 | 52.5% | ▼0.8 | 6/13 | 1.6 |
| T. LawrenceBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -106 | 48.1% | ▼0.8 | 9/18 | 1.8 |
| T. LawrenceBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -125 | 51.9% | ▲0.8 | 9/18 | 1.8 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -192 | 61.7% | ▼0.8 | 10/17 | 2.0 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +145 | 38.3% | ▲0.8 | 10/17 | 2.0 |
| D. WatsonBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 0.5 | +140 | 39.2% | ▼0.8 | 4/7 | 0.7 |
| D. WatsonBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 0.5 | -182 | 60.8% | ▲0.8 | 4/7 | 0.7 |
| D. PrescottBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -145 | 55.4% | ▼0.7 | 10/17 | 1.8 |
| D. PrescottBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +110 | 44.6% | ▲0.7 | 10/17 | 1.8 |
| A. RodgersBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +119 | 42.6% | ▼0.7 | 6/17 | 1.4 |
| A. RodgersBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -160 | 57.4% | ▲0.7 | 6/17 | 1.4 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -161 | 57.6% | ▼0.7 | 5/16 | 1.3 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +120 | 42.4% | ▲0.7 | 5/16 | 1.3 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +131 | 40.6% | ▲0.7 | 13/21 | 1.8 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -172 | 59.4% | ▼0.7 | 13/21 | 1.8 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +126 | 41.4% | ▲0.5 | 5/12 | 1.3 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -167 | 58.6% | ▼0.5 | 5/12 | 1.3 |
| B. MayfieldBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -110 | 49.2% | ▼0.4 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| B. MayfieldBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -118 | 50.8% | ▲0.4 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1 | +110 | 50.4% | ▲0.3 | 5/15 | 1.3 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1 | +113 | 49.6% | ▼0.3 | 5/15 | 1.3 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -211 | 63.7% | ▼0.3 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +159 | 36.3% | ▲0.3 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| S. DarnoldBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +107 | 45.4% | ▼0.3 | 9/20 | 1.5 |
| S. DarnoldBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -139 | 54.6% | ▲0.3 | 9/20 | 1.5 |
| J. AllenBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +155 | 37.0% | ▲0.2 | 10/18 | 1.6 |
| J. AllenBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -202 | 63.0% | ▼0.2 | 10/18 | 1.6 |
| B. PurdyBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -103 | 47.7% | ▲0.2 | 7/11 | 2.0 |
| B. PurdyBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -125 | 52.3% | ▼0.2 | 7/11 | 2.0 |
| J. DanielsBoard | WSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 0.5 | -250 | 66.9% | ▲0.1 | 5/7 | 1.1 |
| J. DanielsBoard | WSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 0.5 | +183 | 33.1% | ▼0.1 | 5/7 | 1.1 |
| M. StaffordBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -149 | 55.9% | ▲0.1 | 17/20 | 2.6 |
| M. StaffordBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +112 | 44.1% | ▼0.1 | 17/20 | 2.6 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass yds O | 230.5 | -114 | 49.9% | ▼0.1 | 14/21 | 248.7 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass yds U | 230.5 | -114 | 50.1% | ▲0.1 | 14/21 | 248.7 |
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.