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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
B. NixBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass TDs O1.5+13639.7%▲1.27/181.6
B. NixBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass TDs U1.5-18060.3%▼1.27/181.6
B. NixBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass yds O227.5-11450.1%▲0.19/18233.9
B. NixBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass yds U227.5-11349.9%▼0.19/18233.9
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass TDs O1.5+11344.0%▼0.05/141.6
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass TDs U1.5-14956.0%▲0.05/141.6
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass yds O226.5-11450.0%10/14256.2
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMPass yds U226.5-11450.0%10/14256.2
Showing 8 of 8· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.