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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs O0.5-22765.1%▲0.53/40.8
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs U0.5+16934.9%▼0.53/40.8
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs O1.5+13240.5%▼0.23/101.0
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs U1.5-17259.5%▲0.23/101.0
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds O216.5-11450.0%▼0.12/10172.1
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds U216.5-11450.0%▲0.12/10172.1
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds O181.5-11450.0%1/4105.5
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds U181.5-11450.0%1/4105.5
Showing 8 of 8· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.