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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5-10848.7%▲0.59/181.8
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-12051.3%▼0.59/181.8
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O176.5-11450.0%▼0.12/7164.0
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U176.5-11450.0%▲0.12/7164.0
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O235.5-11450.0%▲0.19/18234.1
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U235.5-11450.0%▼0.19/18234.1
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O0.5-18260.8%4/70.7
D. WatsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U0.5+14039.2%4/70.7
Showing 8 of 8· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.