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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
C. WilliamsBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O226.5-11550.1%▲0.210/19240.0
C. WilliamsBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U226.5-11449.9%▼0.210/19240.0
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O210.5-11449.9%▼0.14/17192.6
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U210.5-11450.1%▲0.14/17192.6
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+11144.4%7/171.4
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-14655.6%7/171.4
C. WilliamsBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5-10948.8%11/191.6
C. WilliamsBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-12051.2%11/191.6
Showing 8 of 8· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.