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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+19032.6%▼17.85/151.3
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-25067.4%▲17.85/151.3
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+16535.5%▲1.44/170.9
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-22064.5%▼1.44/170.9
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U208.5-11449.9%6/15201.7
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O206.5-11450.0%8/17186.4
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O208.5-11450.1%6/15201.7
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U206.5-11450.0%8/17186.4
Showing 8 of 8· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.