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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass TDs O1.5-10247.5%▼0.17/112.0
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass TDs U1.5-12652.5%▲0.17/112.0
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass yds U243.5-11449.9%▼0.16/11233.5
B. PurdyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass yds O243.5-11550.1%▲0.16/11233.5
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass TDs O1.5-14955.9%17/202.6
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass yds U265.5-11449.9%12/20282.1
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass TDs U1.5+11244.1%17/202.6
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMPass yds O265.5-11550.1%12/20282.1
Showing 8 of 8· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.