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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass TDs O1.5+13041.0%▲0.413/211.8
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass TDs U1.5-16859.0%▼0.413/211.8
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass yds O232.5-11450.1%▲0.114/21248.7
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass yds U232.5-11449.9%▼0.114/21248.7
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass TDs O1.5+10745.4%9/201.5
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass TDs U1.5-13954.6%9/201.5
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass yds O228.5-11550.1%11/20236.0
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass yds U228.5-11449.9%11/20236.0
Showing 8 of 8· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.