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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
J. BurrowBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O2.5+15137.3%▼13.03/82.1
J. BurrowBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U2.5-20262.7%▲13.03/82.1
J. JacobsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-169as offered▲5.810/160.9
D. NealBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲4.62/90.2
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRecs O1.5+11247.2%▲2.811/162.5
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
S. BarkleyBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+10046.9%▼2.48/162.5
S. BarkleyBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-13153.1%▲2.48/162.5
J. WrightBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲2.42/90.2
J. D/STBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+380as offered▲2.3
J. EndriesBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+700as offered▼2.3
A. JeantyBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-160as offered▲2.27/170.6
S. PerineBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U1.5-16157.9%▲2.26/111.5
S. PerineBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O1.5+12342.1%▼2.26/111.5
J. WilliamsBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMAnytime TD-155as offered▼2.110/160.8
D. SamuelBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O2.5-15056.6%▼2.013/164.5
D. SamuelBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U2.5+11743.4%▲2.013/164.5
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O1.5+14338.8%▲1.99/161.8
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U1.5-18561.2%▼1.99/161.8
J. ChaseBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O7.5+10845.3%▼1.97/167.8
J. ChaseBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U7.5-13854.7%▲1.97/167.8
J. SmallBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲1.8
Q. JudkinsBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O1.5-13854.6%▲1.87/122.2
Q. JudkinsBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U1.5+10845.4%▼1.87/122.2
D. LondonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O5.5-11049.3%▼1.76/125.7
D. LondonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U5.5-11650.7%▲1.76/125.7
T. ShoughBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-16458.4%▼1.73/110.9
T. ShoughBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+12641.6%▲1.73/110.9
A. JonesBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O13.5-11951.0%▲1.77/1216.6
A. JonesBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U13.5-10949.0%▼1.77/1216.6
J. HurtsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+124as offered▼1.76/170.5
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼1.61/40.3
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+285as offered▼1.65/210.5
B. KnightBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+380as offered▲1.65/100.5
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRec yds U6.5-10848.4%▼1.613/1615.9
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRec yds O6.5-12351.6%▲1.613/1615.9
D. MooreBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3.5-12051.5%▲1.610/193.2
D. MooreBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3.5-10648.5%▼1.610/193.2
D. MartinezBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+750as offered▼1.6
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▼1.61/110.1
Showing 40 of 2,118· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.