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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
J. JacobsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-169as offered▲5.810/160.9
D. NealBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲4.62/90.2
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
J. SmallBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲1.8
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼1.61/40.3
D. MartinezBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+750as offered▼1.6
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▼1.61/110.1
E. StowersBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▼1.5
F. Gore Jr.BoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼1.40/10.0
P. DurhamBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1000as offered▼1.40/40.0
K. AllenBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+900as offered▼1.4
R. HarveyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+220as offered▲1.49/190.6
D. SampsonBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+675as offered▼1.42/150.1
J. BechBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+663as offered▲1.40/120.0
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+663as offered▲1.41/110.1
T. ThorntonBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+500as offered▲1.33/110.3
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.33/130.2
J. McLaughlinBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered▼1.31/100.1
J. HurtsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+118as offered▲1.26/170.5
D. MeyersBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1300as offered▼1.2
K. Walker IIIBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+488as offered▼1.26/200.5
J. DownsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+255as offered▲1.14/160.3
Z. CharbonnetBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+115as offered▼1.110/170.7
M. HollinsBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+900as offered▼1.13/160.2
M. TinsleyBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▲1.12/80.3
G. DortchBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+550as offered▲1.14/120.3
D. SamuelBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+338as offered▼1.16/160.4
J. WayneBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▲1.10/10.0
D. HermanBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+3500as offered▼1.1
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+115as offered▲1.16/170.5
S. D/STBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+488as offered▲1.0
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMFirst TD+1400as offered▼1.05/210.5
C. OkonkwoBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+438as offered▼1.02/170.1
C. SuttonBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+220as offered▲0.98/190.4
D. HenryBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD-211as offered▼0.99/170.9
K. JohnsonBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+900as offered▲0.91/50.2
N. Westbrook-IkhineBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼0.90/90.0
M. AndrewsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+185as offered▼0.94/170.4
B. KnightBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▼0.85/100.5
A. D/STBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+650as offered▲0.8
Showing 40 of 1,192· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.