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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
A. SemenyoMCI at MUN · SUN 11:30 AMShots OT O1.5+280as offered▲16.30/21.0
T. Etienne Jr.BoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3-10249.2%▼9.04/182.3
T. Etienne Jr.BoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3-10850.8%▲9.04/182.3
J. SandersBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▼5.81/110.1
J. JacobsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-169as offered▲5.810/160.9
D. NealBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲4.62/90.2
H. SmothersBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+108as offered▼4.3
R. BrownBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+101as offered▼3.7
A. ManningBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+108as offered▼3.20/10.0
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRecs O1.5+11247.2%▲2.811/162.5
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5+10546.0%▲2.69/175.2
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5-13454.0%▼2.69/175.2
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
O. D/STBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+600as offered▼2.4
D. SwiftBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O11.5-12351.9%▲2.113/1719.8
D. SwiftBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U11.5-10548.1%▼2.113/1719.8
M. EvansBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+950as offered▲1.82/140.1
J. SmallBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲1.8
E. HaalandMCI at MUN · SUN 11:30 AMShots OT O2.5+230as offered▲1.72/32.7
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼1.61/40.3
C. Rodriguez Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+175as offered▲1.66/120.5
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRec yds U6.5-10848.4%▼1.613/1615.9
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRec yds O6.5-12351.6%▲1.613/1615.9
D. MartinezBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+750as offered▼1.6
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▼1.61/110.1
R. StevensonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRecs O3.5+10944.9%▲1.64/182.4
R. StevensonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRecs U3.5-14255.1%▼1.64/182.4
K. KieftBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▼1.5
J. SandersBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.51/110.1
F. Gore Jr.BoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼1.40/10.0
T. TrembleBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+450as offered▲1.42/160.1
K. Walker IIIBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs O2.5-14355.3%▼1.48/192.1
K. Walker IIIBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs U2.5+11044.7%▲1.48/192.1
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+663as offered▲1.41/110.1
K. GainwellBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+213as offered▼1.36/180.4
N. RobertsBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+500as offered▲1.30/10.0
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.33/130.2
D. SzoboszlaiFUL at LIV · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - first+790as offered▼1.3
J. McLaughlinBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered▼1.31/100.1
J. SmithBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD-142as offered▼1.21/12.0
Showing 40 of 817· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.