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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▼1.61/110.1
K. Walker IIIBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs O2.5-14355.3%▼1.48/192.1
K. Walker IIIBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRecs U2.5+11044.7%▲1.48/192.1
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+663as offered▲1.41/110.1
J. McLaughlinBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered▼1.31/100.1
J. BrownleeBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+3000as offered▲0.80/10.0
J. JolyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+2800as offered▼0.4
N. ScorerBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+4500as offered▼0.3
R. RiceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds O59.5-11249.6%▼0.24/871.4
R. RiceBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRec yds U59.5-11650.4%▲0.24/871.4
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds O15.5-11349.9%▲0.19/1430.1
P. MahomesBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds U15.5-11450.1%▼0.19/1430.1
K. Walker IIIBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds O60.5-11449.9%▼0.112/2067.0
K. Walker IIIBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds U60.5-11450.1%▲0.112/2067.0
Showing 14 of 14· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.