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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5+10546.0%▲2.69/175.2
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5-13454.0%▼2.69/175.2
T. GoodsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▲0.70/70.0
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+383as offered▼0.73/160.3
R. NowakowskiBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1800as offered▼0.6
B. Robinson Jr.BoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+345as offered▲0.62/170.1
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+117as offered▼0.56/170.5
L. NicholsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▼0.5
T. HomerBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+3000as offered▲0.50/10.0
R. DowdleBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+675as offered▲0.46/180.4
A. RodgersBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1550as offered▼0.41/130.1
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1500as offered▲0.43/170.3
B. RobinsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD-156as offered▼0.49/170.6
Z. BranchBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+750as offered▼0.4
A. RodgersBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+11942.6%▼0.36/171.4
A. RodgersBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-16057.4%▲0.36/171.4
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+300as offered▲0.33/170.3
D. WashingtonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+538as offered▼0.31/130.1
B. RobinsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5+10845.0%▼0.39/174.6
B. RobinsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5-14355.0%▲0.39/174.6
D. WashingtonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U17.5-11049.3%▲0.38/1328.0
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O25.5-11249.7%▼0.38/1631.5
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U25.5-11550.3%▲0.38/1631.5
D. WashingtonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O17.5-11650.7%▼0.38/1328.0
R. DowdleBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O10.5-11249.5%▼0.39/1717.8
R. DowdleBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U10.5-11850.5%▲0.39/1717.8
D. LondonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+210as offered▲0.35/120.6
M. Pittman Jr.BoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+233as offered▼0.27/170.4
D. DrummondBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+5000as offered▼0.20/30.0
M. Pittman Jr.BoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1075as offered▲0.27/170.4
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1650as offered▼0.23/160.3
A. HooperBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+4000as offered▼0.22/160.1
C. BlairBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2400as offered▲0.1
T. TagovailoaBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U206.5-11450.0%▲0.14/14190.0
T. TagovailoaBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O206.5-11450.0%▼0.14/14190.0
D. LondonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O5.5-11450.2%▲0.16/125.7
D. LondonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U5.5-11249.8%▼0.16/125.7
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5-11750.7%▲0.16/152.7
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5-11049.3%▼0.16/152.7
J. DotsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O1.5-15357.0%▼0.14/151.2
Showing 40 of 56· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.