
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
| Player | Game | Market | Line | Price | Imp% | 24h▼ | Hit | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. WillisBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 0.5 | -227 | 65.1% | ▲0.5 | 3/4 | 0.8 |
| M. WillisBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 0.5 | +169 | 34.9% | ▼0.5 | 3/4 | 0.8 |
| K. MurrayBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +115 | 43.7% | ▲0.4 | 2/5 | 1.2 |
| K. MurrayBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -149 | 56.3% | ▼0.4 | 2/5 | 1.2 |
| M. StaffordBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -149 | 56.3% | ▲0.3 | 17/20 | 2.6 |
| M. StaffordBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +115 | 43.7% | ▼0.3 | 17/20 | 2.6 |
| C. WardBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +163 | 35.8% | ▲0.3 | 4/17 | 0.9 |
| C. WardBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -215 | 64.2% | ▼0.3 | 4/17 | 0.9 |
| A. RodgersBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +119 | 42.6% | ▼0.3 | 6/17 | 1.4 |
| A. RodgersBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -160 | 57.4% | ▲0.3 | 6/17 | 1.4 |
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -202 | 62.7% | ▲0.3 | 5/8 | 2.1 |
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +151 | 37.3% | ▼0.3 | 5/8 | 2.1 |
| J. AllenBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +150 | 37.5% | ▲0.3 | 10/18 | 1.6 |
| J. AllenBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -200 | 62.5% | ▼0.3 | 10/18 | 1.6 |
| K. CousinsBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +132 | 40.5% | ▼0.2 | 3/10 | 1.0 |
| K. CousinsBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -172 | 59.5% | ▲0.2 | 3/10 | 1.0 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds O | 237.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▼0.2 | 7/17 | 228.6 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds U | 237.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▲0.2 | 7/17 | 228.6 |
| C. WilliamsBoard | CHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 226.5 | -115 | 50.1% | ▲0.2 | 10/19 | 240.0 |
| C. WilliamsBoard | CHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 226.5 | -114 | 49.9% | ▼0.2 | 10/19 | 240.0 |
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 267.5 | -115 | 50.1% | ▲0.2 | 3/8 | 226.1 |
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 267.5 | -114 | 49.9% | ▼0.2 | 3/8 | 226.1 |
| D. WatsonBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 0.5 | +140 | 39.1% | ▼0.1 | 4/7 | 0.7 |
| D. WatsonBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 0.5 | -185 | 60.9% | ▲0.1 | 4/7 | 0.7 |
| L. JacksonBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +103 | 46.1% | ▼0.1 | 6/13 | 1.6 |
| L. JacksonBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -136 | 53.9% | ▲0.1 | 6/13 | 1.6 |
| K. CousinsBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds O | 216.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▼0.1 | 2/10 | 172.1 |
| K. CousinsBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds U | 216.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▲0.1 | 2/10 | 172.1 |
| T. TagovailoaBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 206.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▲0.1 | 4/14 | 190.0 |
| T. TagovailoaBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 206.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▼0.1 | 4/14 | 190.0 |
| D. WatsonBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 176.5 | -115 | 50.1% | ▲0.1 | 2/7 | 164.0 |
| D. WatsonBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 176.5 | -114 | 49.9% | ▼0.1 | 2/7 | 164.0 |
| J. LoveBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds O | 238.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▼0.1 | 7/16 | 231.5 |
| J. LoveBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds U | 238.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▲0.1 | 7/16 | 231.5 |
| K. MurrayBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds O | 222.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▲0.1 | 0/5 | 192.4 |
| K. MurrayBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds U | 222.5 | -114 | 50.0% | ▼0.1 | 0/5 | 192.4 |
| B. PurdyBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -103 | 47.7% | ▲0.1 | 7/11 | 2.0 |
| B. PurdyBoard | SF at LAR · THU 8:35 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -125 | 52.3% | ▼0.1 | 7/11 | 2.0 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +130 | 40.9% | ▲0.1 | 5/12 | 1.3 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -168 | 59.1% | ▼0.1 | 5/12 | 1.3 |
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.