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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
0.5
0
1
1
2
2
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
0.5
-233
65.8%
32.0
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
0.5
0
1
1
2
2
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Under
0.5
+176
34.2%
32.0
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-200
62.4%
25.1
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
+149
37.6%
25.1
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
2.5
4
2
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+146
38.3%
23.5
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
2.5
4
2
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-190
61.7%
23.5
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
1.5
2
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
-185
60.9%
22.4
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
1.5
2
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
+140
39.1%
22.4
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+190
32.6%
17.8
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-250
67.4%
17.8
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3
2
10
4
7
3
11
5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
4.5
-149
56.3%
7.9
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3
2
10
4
7
3
11
5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
4.5
+116
43.7%
7.9
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
5.5
+115
43.4%
6.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
5.5
-154
56.6%
6.7
IPS at CRY · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
2026: scored in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Scorer
-110
as offered
5.8
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 10 of 16 games
0.5
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
-169
as offered
5.8
D. NealBoard
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 9 games
0.5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+400
as offered
4.6
FUL at LIV · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
2026: scored in 0 of 3 games
0.5
0
0
0
Full season →
Scorer
+600
as offered
4.6
NOT at AST · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
scored in 2 of 4 games
0.5
0
1
2
0
Full season →
Scorer
+350
as offered
4.5
FUL at LIV · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
2026: scored in 0 of 3 games
0.5
0
0
0
Full season →
Scorer
+970
as offered
4.2
IPS at CRY · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
Scorer
+275
as offered
3.6
J. Philogene-Bidace
IPS at CRY · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
Scorer
+290
as offered
3.4
IPS at CRY · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
2026: scored in 0 of 1 games
0.5
0
Full season →
Scorer
+1000
as offered
3.4
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
2.5
5
2
3
4
1
5
3
1
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+100
47.0%
3.4
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
2.5
5
2
3
4
1
5
3
1
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-130
53.0%
3.4
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
3.5
6
2
5
7
7
7
0
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
+117
43.2%
3.3
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
3.5
6
2
5
7
7
7
0
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-153
56.8%
3.3
NOT at AST · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
2026: scored in 1 of 3 games
0.5
0
1
0
Full season →
Scorer
+263
as offered
3.2
IPS at CRY · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
2026: scored in 0 of 3 games
0.5
0
0
0
Full season →
Scorer
+388
as offered
3.0
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
2.5
2
4
3
4
2
3
1
1
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
-149
56.6%
3.0
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
2.5
2
4
3
4
2
3
1
1
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
+118
43.4%
3.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.5/game
1.5
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
+112
47.2%
2.8
NOT at AST · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
First scorer
+850
as offered
2.8
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11
8
4
13
6
0
9
2
5
9
Full season →
Recs
Over
6.5
-114
49.9%
2.5
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11
8
4
13
6
0
9
2
5
9
Full season →
Recs
Under
6.5
-114
50.1%
2.5
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
1.5
1
6
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
+159
36.3%
2.5
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
1.5
1
6
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
-211
63.7%
2.5
NOT at AST · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
Last scorer
+4250
as offered
2.5
IPS at CRY · EPL · SAT 10:00 AM
First scorer
+295
as offered
2.5
C. KirkBoard
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 13 games
0.5
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+925
as offered
2.4

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 3937 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.