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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
J. BurrowBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O2.5+15137.3%▼13.03/82.1
J. BurrowBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U2.5-20262.7%▲13.03/82.1
E. KroupiBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+108as offered▼12.4
B. DoakBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+358as offered▼7.50/30.0
E. KroupiBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - first+380as offered▼7.0
J. JacobsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-169as offered▲5.810/160.9
D. NealBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲4.62/90.2
M. OdegaardARS at SUN · SAT 3:00 PMScorer - anytime+320as offered▼3.6
J. AraujoBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - first+3800as offered▼3.3
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRecs O1.5+11247.2%▲2.811/162.5
J. HinshelwoodBRI at COV · SUN 9:00 AMScorer - anytime+238as offered▼2.61/12.0
J. AraujoBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+475as offered▼2.6
L. Williams-BarnettEVE at TOT · SAT 12:30 PMScorer - anytime+255as offered▼2.60/10.0
W. IsidorARS at SUN · SAT 3:00 PMScorer - anytime+335as offered▲2.61/30.3
S. BergBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+900as offered▼2.5
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
S. BarkleyBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+10046.9%▼2.48/162.5
S. BarkleyBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-13153.1%▲2.48/162.5
J. WrightBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲2.42/90.2
J. D/STBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+380as offered▲2.3
J. EndriesBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+700as offered▼2.3
J. DasilvaBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+400as offered▼2.2
A. JeantyBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-160as offered▲2.27/170.6
S. PerineBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U1.5-16157.9%▲2.26/111.5
S. PerineBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O1.5+12342.1%▼2.26/111.5
J. WilliamsBoardDAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PMAnytime TD-155as offered▼2.110/160.8
D. SamuelBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O2.5-15056.6%▼2.013/164.5
D. SamuelBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U2.5+11743.4%▲2.013/164.5
H. DiarraARS at SUN · SAT 3:00 PMScorer - anytime+700as offered▲2.00/20.0
A. MunozBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - last+578as offered▲1.9
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O1.5+14338.8%▲1.99/161.8
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U1.5-18561.2%▼1.99/161.8
C. WilsonBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+177as offered▲1.90/30.0
M. JensenBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+625as offered▼1.90/10.0
J. BahoyaNEW at LEE · MON 3:00 PMShots OT O0.5+135as offered▼1.9
J. ChaseBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O7.5+10845.3%▼1.97/167.8
J. ChaseBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U7.5-13854.7%▲1.97/167.8
N. OkaforNEW at LEE · MON 3:00 PMShots OT O0.5-120as offered▼1.9
R. HenryBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+1200as offered▼1.80/30.0
J. SmallBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲1.8
Showing 40 of 3,684· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.