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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
GameLgMarketSelectionLinePriceImp%24h
DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMBoardnflMLKC-14557.1%0.2
DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMBoardnflMLDEN+12542.9%0.2
DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMBoardnflSpreadKC-2.5-1180.1
DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMBoardnflSpreadDEN+2.5-1020.1
DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMBoardnflTotalOver 43.543.5-110
DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMBoardnflTotalUnder 43.543.5-110
Showing 6 of 6 selections · one row per priced side · IMP% is the de-vigged two-way price; spread and total juice carries none · Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.