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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼1.61/40.3
D. HermanBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▲1.1
M. BensonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+700as offered▼0.6
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+105as offered▼0.610/160.8
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+268as offered▲0.53/170.3
C. RunyonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+6000as offered▼0.50/10.0
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs O0.5-22765.1%▲0.53/40.8
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs U0.5+16934.9%▼0.53/40.8
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O4.5+12541.6%▼0.58/164.2
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U4.5-16758.4%▲0.58/164.2
J. NailorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+410as offered▲0.53/170.2
B. SimsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+3000as offered▲0.50/30.0
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+10000as offered▼0.41/40.3
S. JacksonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▲0.41/30.3
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O38.5-11149.5%▼0.42/430.8
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U38.5-11650.5%▲0.42/430.8
D. Thornton Jr.BoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1050as offered▼0.40/110.0
J. ReagorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+4000as offered▲0.30/70.0
D. HermanBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+8000as offered▲0.2
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1775as offered▼0.21/60.2
D. EdwardsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+5000as offered▼0.2
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs O1.5+13240.5%▼0.23/101.0
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass TDs U1.5-17259.5%▲0.23/101.0
W. KacmarekBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1550as offered▼0.2
M. BensonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2800as offered▼0.2
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+13440.4%▼0.27/122.9
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-17259.6%▲0.27/122.9
J. NailorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+15137.4%▼0.27/171.7
J. NailorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-20062.6%▲0.27/171.7
K. Coleman Jr.BoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1750as offered▲0.1
D. YoungBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+3150as offered▼0.10/30.0
M. WashingtonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+1700as offered▲0.14/170.2
C. DouglasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O2.5+11443.9%▲0.1
C. DouglasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U2.5-14856.1%▼0.1
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds O216.5-11450.0%▼0.12/10172.1
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds U216.5-11450.0%▲0.12/10172.1
M. WashingtonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O27.5-11450.0%▼0.15/1718.6
M. WashingtonBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U27.5-11450.0%▲0.15/1718.6
I. ThomasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+1950as offered▼0.10/70.0
C. HeywardBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2850as offered▲0.13/110.3
Showing 40 of 125· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.