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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O1.5+15936.3%▼2.59/161.8
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U1.5-21163.7%▲2.59/161.8
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
T. HigbeeBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O1.5-11850.8%▲2.18/122.4
T. HigbeeBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U1.5-11049.2%▼2.18/122.4
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O0.5+11943.3%▲1.77/151.1
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U0.5-14956.7%▼1.77/151.1
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.33/130.2
G. KittleBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U3.5+11044.9%▼1.210/124.8
G. KittleBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O3.5-14155.1%▲1.210/124.8
D. SamuelBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+338as offered▼1.16/160.4
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O2.5-11149.6%▼1.19/1012.9
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U2.5-11550.4%▲1.19/1012.9
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U4.5-11550.3%▼1.015/195.9
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O4.5-11249.7%▲1.015/195.9
K. MumpfieldBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1050as offered▼0.81/120.1
K. WilliamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+500as offered▼0.713/200.8
J. TongesBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+500as offered▼0.75/110.5
C. ParkinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O2.5+12142.5%▲0.710/173.0
C. ParkinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U2.5-15957.5%▼0.710/173.0
L. D/STBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▲0.6
J. TongesBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+2800as offered▲0.55/110.5
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+775as offered▼0.52/160.1
D. AdamsBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+123as offered▲0.510/170.9
J. WhittingtonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+838as offered▼0.40/140.0
C. ParkinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+420as offered▼0.47/170.5
C. McCaffreyBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD-149as offered▼0.413/191.0
S. DefenseBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4000as offered▼0.3
J. WhittingtonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4000as offered▼0.30/140.0
X. SmithBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1225as offered▼0.30/100.0
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O46.5-11550.3%▲0.39/2043.3
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U46.5-11249.7%▼0.39/2043.3
C. ParkinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRec yds U19.5-11450.0%▼0.312/1732.9
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRec yds O11.5-11450.0%▼0.310/1624.3
C. ParkinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRec yds O19.5-11450.0%▲0.312/1732.9
D. RobinsonBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRec yds U11.5-11450.0%▲0.310/1624.3
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs O7.5+11543.7%▲0.310/198.1
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRecs U7.5-14956.3%▼0.310/198.1
L. FarrellBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+1300as offered▲0.22/110.2
J. JordanBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+950as offered▼0.2
Showing 40 of 141· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.