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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
C. BasseyFUL at LIV · SAT 10:00 AMShots OT O0.5+540as offered▼0.0
C. GakpoFUL at LIV · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - first+540as offered▼0.0
N. TouchdownBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMFirst TD+19000as offered▲0.0
A. IngoldBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+10000as offered▼0.00/100.0
H. HenryBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRecs O3.5+12342.1%▲0.09/213.3
H. HenryBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRecs U3.5-16157.9%▼0.09/213.3
C. WoernerBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+8500as offered▼0.00/80.0
J. BatesBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+7750as offered▲0.01/90.1
R. VirgilBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+7500as offered▲0.1
B. BrooksBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2900as offered▲0.10/30.0
T. TagovailoaBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1+11748.7%▲0.17/141.4
T. TagovailoaBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1+10751.3%▼0.17/141.4
N. TouchdownBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+10000as offered▲0.1
D. OgletreeBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+7250as offered▼0.11/40.3
D. MeyersBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+6500as offered▼0.1
C. OlaveBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O6.5+10545.9%▲0.17/166.3
C. OlaveBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U6.5-13554.1%▼0.17/166.3
T. PollardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O1.5-12051.3%▼0.19/152.2
T. PollardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U1.5-10848.7%▲0.19/152.2
S. BellBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+6300as offered▲0.1
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass yds O232.5-11550.1%▲0.114/21248.7
D. MayeBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMPass yds U232.5-11449.9%▼0.114/21248.7
R. StevensonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRec yds O23.5-11550.1%▲0.18/1826.2
R. StevensonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRec yds U23.5-11449.9%▼0.18/1826.2
D. MetcalfBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O48.5-11450.1%▼0.18/1655.8
D. MetcalfBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U48.5-11449.9%▲0.18/1655.8
C. BlairBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+9000as offered▲0.1
X. LegetteBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5-10251.2%▼0.15/162.3
X. LegetteBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5+10848.8%▲0.15/162.3
Q. JudkinsBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O58.5-11450.1%▼0.18/1459.1
Q. JudkinsBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U58.5-11449.9%▲0.18/1459.1
J. DanielsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds U201.5-11449.9%▼0.13/7180.3
J. DanielsBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds O201.5-11550.1%▲0.13/7180.3
R. WhiteBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O14.5-11450.1%▼0.18/1712.8
R. WhiteBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U14.5-11449.9%▲0.18/1712.8
T. HigginsBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5-14655.8%▼0.16/153.9
T. HigginsBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5+11344.2%▲0.16/153.9
M. GesickiBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O20.5-11449.9%▲0.14/1225.6
M. GesickiBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U20.5-11450.1%▼0.14/1225.6
F. BarbosaBRE at BOU · SAT 10:00 AMScorer - anytime+185as offered▲0.1
Showing 40 of 817· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.