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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
A. OkwuegbunamBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+4000as offered0/10.0
J. HunterBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered
L. D/STBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2200as offered
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O40.5-11450.0%7/1740.9
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U27.5-11149.5%8/1630.5
G. DulcichBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U26.5-11450.0%6/937.2
J. NailorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O22.5-11450.0%9/1726.1
J. NailorBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U22.5-11450.0%9/1726.1
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O17.5-11550.1%6/1227.3
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U17.5-11449.9%6/1227.3
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+600as offered10/160.8
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+750as offered4/120.6
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+1350as offered3/170.3
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+1400as offered1/40.5
M. MayerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2150as offered1/120.1
O. Gordon IIBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2200as offered4/160.3
C. DouglasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2200as offered
D. LaubeBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2800as offered0/40.0
J. TolbertBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMFirst TD+2750as offered1/110.1
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O5.5-14455.5%4/125.3
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U5.5+11144.5%4/125.3
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O3.5-10648.3%7/173.4
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds O181.5-11450.0%1/4105.5
M. WillisBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMPass yds U181.5-11450.0%1/4105.5
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O67-11450.1%9/1684.4
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U67-11449.9%9/1684.4
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O0.5+12042.7%4/61.2
K. CousinsBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U0.5-15657.3%4/61.2
J. BechBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U1.5-11450.0%6/121.7
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs U3.5-12351.7%7/173.4
J. BechBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRecs O1.5-11450.0%6/121.7
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U64.5-11450.0%3/1256.7
T. TuckerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U40.5-11450.0%7/1740.9
C. DouglasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O28.5-11450.0%
C. DouglasBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U28.5-11450.0%
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O27.5-11650.5%8/1630.5
G. DulcichBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O26.5-11450.0%6/937.2
J. BechBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O15.5-11450.3%7/1218.7
J. BechBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds U15.5-11149.7%7/1218.7
B. BowersBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRec yds O64.5-11450.0%3/1256.7
Showing 40 of 125· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.