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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
N. CarterBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered0/20.0
J. SimonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+4500as offered
K. JohnsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered0/100.0
D. MetcalfBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3.5-12752.6%8/163.8
D. MetcalfBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3.5-10147.4%8/163.8
B. RobinsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5+10845.3%9/174.6
B. RobinsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5-14054.8%9/174.6
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5-12452.0%11/162.6
D. WashingtonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O1.5-17760.2%10/132.4
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U43.5-11450.0%11/1758.9
T. TagovailoaBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O1.5-11049.5%7/113.9
J. WarrenBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O43.5-11450.0%11/1758.9
T. TagovailoaBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U1.5-11650.5%7/113.9
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5-10548.0%11/162.6
R. DowdleBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+132as offered6/180.4
D. MetcalfBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+200as offered7/160.4
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+368as offered3/160.3
D. WashingtonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U1.5+13739.8%10/132.4
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U25.5-11450.0%8/1631.5
B. RobinsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD-159as offered9/170.6
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O25.5-11450.0%8/1631.5
J. DotsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O18.5-11450.0%5/1517.5
J. DotsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U18.5-11450.0%5/1517.5
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1600as offered3/170.3
D. WashingtonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+2200as offered1/130.1
K. PittsBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+305as offered3/170.3
J. DotsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+550as offered1/150.1
G. BernardBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+613as offered
R. WilsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+575as offered2/90.2
O. ZaccheausBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+700as offered3/160.2
Z. BranchBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+725as offered
B. SkowronekBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1600as offered1/60.2
R. NowakowskiBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1600as offered
C. BlairBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered
B. Robinson Jr.BoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1750as offered2/170.1
R. WilsonBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+2500as offered2/90.2
E. HeidenreichBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1400as offered
A. DefenseBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1100as offered
D. MetcalfBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+975as offered7/160.4
P. FreiermuthBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1600as offered3/160.3
Showing 40 of 126· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.