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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
A. RandallBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1200as offered
L. ScottBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+4000as offered
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+463as offered4/130.4
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+488as offered2/90.3
B. DefenseBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+800as offered
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U10.5-11249.6%6/821.1
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U11-11450.0%5/1312.6
J. DownsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O4.5+12142.4%5/163.6
M. AndrewsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+178as offered4/170.4
J. DownsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+270as offered4/160.3
R. BatemanBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+325as offered2/130.2
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U9-11750.8%2/811.6
D. HenryBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O79.5-11450.0%9/1793.8
J. TaylorBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O77-11450.1%8/1793.2
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs O1.5+13240.2%6/131.5
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMPass TDs U1.5-17959.8%6/131.5
D. HenryBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U79.5-11450.0%9/1793.8
J. TaylorBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U77-11449.9%8/1793.2
L. JacksonBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O36.5-11550.1%3/1326.8
L. JacksonBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U36.5-11449.9%3/1326.8
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O11-11450.0%5/1312.6
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O9-10949.2%2/811.6
J. DownsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U4.5-15957.6%5/163.6
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O1.5-19262.1%5/82.6
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+217as offered5/170.3
L. JacksonBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+223as offered2/130.2
A. PierceBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+247as offered4/150.4
K. AllenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+318as offered4/180.2
D. WalkerBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+813as offered2/50.6
J. TaylorBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O2.5-14655.7%11/162.9
J. TaylorBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U2.5+11244.3%11/162.9
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U1.5+14937.9%5/82.6
A. PierceBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O46.5-11450.1%11/1566.9
A. PierceBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U46.5-11349.9%11/1566.9
J. DownsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U45.5-11450.0%5/1635.4
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U44-11249.7%8/1748.1
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O10.5-11650.4%6/821.1
J. DownsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O45.5-11450.0%5/1635.4
T. WarrenBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O44-11450.3%8/1748.1
M. AndrewsBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O35.5-11550.1%2/1724.8
Showing 40 of 124· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.