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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Clear game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
M. KinseyBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+5000as offered0/20.0
M. Carter IIBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1700as offered1/130.1
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O18.5-11550.4%6/1523.3
C. TateBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+273as offered
W. RobinsonBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+320as offered4/160.3
C. RidleyBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+410as offered0/70.0
T. D/STBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+500as offered
G. WilsonBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+1050as offered4/70.6
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U18.5-11149.6%6/1523.3
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U208.5-11449.9%6/15201.7
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O206.5-11450.0%8/17186.4
T. SpearsBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U22.5-11450.0%5/1321.8
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U8.5-11249.7%7/1411.4
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O6.5-11450.0%8/147.8
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U6.5-11450.0%8/147.8
C. TateBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs U3.5-13654.2%
G. SmithBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds O208.5-11450.1%6/15201.7
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMPass yds U206.5-11450.0%8/17186.4
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O64.5-11550.3%7/1666.6
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U64.5-11249.7%7/1666.6
T. SpearsBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O22.5-11450.0%5/1321.8
C. WardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O8.5-11550.3%7/1411.4
C. TateBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRecs O3.5+10545.8%
A. MitchellBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O32.5-11550.3%5/1628.3
G. HelmBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O21.5-11450.0%8/1622.3
G. HelmBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U21.5-11450.0%8/1622.3
T. SpearsBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U18.5-11049.3%8/1222.0
A. MitchellBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U32.5-11249.7%5/1628.3
C. RidleyBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O28.5-11249.7%3/743.3
C. RidleyBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U28.5-11550.3%3/743.3
T. SpearsBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O18.5-11650.7%8/1222.0
T. PollardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds O9.5-11550.3%10/1513.7
T. PollardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMRec yds U9.5-11249.7%10/1513.7
B. HallBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+100as offered4/160.3
T. PollardBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+130as offered4/170.3
T. SpearsBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+223as offered2/130.2
G. WilsonBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+228as offered4/70.6
B. AllenBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+260as offered1/40.3
G. HelmBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+485as offered2/160.1
M. TaylorBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+500as offered1/130.1
Showing 40 of 135· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.