
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
| Player | Game | Market | Line | Price | Imp% | 24h▲ | Hit | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -200 | 62.6% | — | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +151 | 37.4% | — | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| J. BrissettBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +154 | 36.8% | — | 10/13 | 1.8 |
| J. BrissettBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -208 | 63.2% | — | 10/13 | 1.8 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 262.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 8/17 | 268.5 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 246.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 5/11 | 216.7 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 246.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 5/11 | 216.7 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -200 | 62.5% | — | 10/17 | 2.0 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +150 | 37.5% | — | 10/17 | 2.0 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +124 | 42.0% | — | 3/11 | 0.9 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -161 | 58.0% | — | 3/11 | 0.9 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 262.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 8/17 | 268.5 |
| C. WardBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 204.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 8/17 | 186.4 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +190 | 32.6% | — | 5/15 | 1.3 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -250 | 67.4% | — | 5/15 | 1.3 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 208.5 | -114 | 50.1% | — | 6/15 | 201.7 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 208.5 | -114 | 49.9% | — | 6/15 | 201.7 |
| C. WardBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 204.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 8/17 | 186.4 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +120 | 42.7% | — | 5/16 | 1.3 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -156 | 57.3% | — | 5/16 | 1.3 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds O | 219.5 | -115 | 50.1% | — | 8/16 | 218.9 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass yds U | 219.5 | -114 | 49.9% | — | 8/16 | 218.9 |
| M. WillisBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds O | 181.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 1/4 | 105.5 |
| M. WillisBoard | MIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds U | 181.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 1/4 | 105.5 |
| P. MahomesBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +113 | 44.0% | — | 5/14 | 1.6 |
| P. MahomesBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -149 | 56.0% | — | 5/14 | 1.6 |
| P. MahomesBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass yds O | 226.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 10/14 | 256.2 |
| P. MahomesBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass yds U | 226.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 10/14 | 256.2 |
| B. NixBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass yds O | 227.5 | -114 | 50.1% | — | 9/18 | 233.9 |
| B. NixBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass yds U | 227.5 | -113 | 49.9% | — | 9/18 | 233.9 |
| B. NixBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +136 | 39.7% | — | 7/18 | 1.6 |
| B. NixBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -180 | 60.3% | — | 7/18 | 1.6 |
| D. PrescottBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -145 | 55.6% | — | 10/17 | 1.8 |
| D. PrescottBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +112 | 44.4% | — | 10/17 | 1.8 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass yds O | 217.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 4/12 | 189.3 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass yds U | 217.5 | -114 | 50.0% | — | 4/12 | 189.3 |
| S. DarnoldBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +107 | 45.4% | — | 9/20 | 1.5 |
| S. DarnoldBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -139 | 54.6% | — | 9/20 | 1.5 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +130 | 41.0% | — | 13/21 | 1.8 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -168 | 59.0% | — | 13/21 | 1.8 |
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.