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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
EPL20 priced · median of 11 books, de-vigged
NOT at ASTSAT 10:00 AM
1X2AST+12043.2%0.7
Draw+24028.0%0.6
NOT+23028.8%0.2
SpreadAST -0.5+1231.5
TotalO/U 2.5-106
BRE at BOUSAT 10:00 AM
1X2BOU+15037.8%
Draw+25526.6%
BRE+16535.6%
SpreadBOU PK-114
TotalO/U 3+100
HUL at CHESAT 10:00 AM
1X2CHE-43576.7%0.3
Draw+51015.5%0.3
HUL+11007.9%0.0
SpreadCHE -2+1001.0
TotalO/U 3.5+106
IPS at CRYSAT 10:00 AM
1X2CRY-11450.6%
Draw+28025.0%
IPS+29024.4%
SpreadCRY -0.5-110
TotalO/U 2.5-1200.1
FUL at LIVSAT 10:00 AM
1X2LIV-22765.2%0.3
Draw+39019.2%0.3
FUL+50015.7%0.1
SpreadLIV -1.5+117
TotalO/U 3.5+109
EVE at TOTSAT 12:30 PM
1X2TOT+10047.0%0.1
Draw+25026.9%0.1
EVE+26026.1%0.2
SpreadTOT -0.5+1020.3
TotalO/U 2.5-1100.3
ARS at SUNSAT 3:00 PM
1X2ARS-20864.1%0.2
Draw+32522.3%0.2
SUN+60013.6%0.0
SpreadSUN +1+100
TotalO/U 2.5-101
BRI at COVSUN 9:00 AM
1X2BRI-12051.5%
Draw+27025.5%
COV+31023.0%
SpreadCOV +0.5-1050.7
TotalO/U 2.5-1300.9
MCI at MUNSUN 11:30 AM
1X2MCI+11344.3%0.2
Draw+28024.8%0.1
MUN+20530.9%0.3
SpreadMUN +0.5-1453.0
TotalO/U 3-12210.1
NEW at LEEMON 3:00 PM
1X2LEE+14039.6%
Draw+25027.1%
NEW+18533.3%
SpreadLEE PK-1287.8
TotalO/U 2.5-1300.3
CHE at BREFRI 3:00 PM
1X2CHE+14039.0%0.6
Draw+26525.6%0.2
BRE+16535.3%0.3
SpreadBRE +0.25-1260.7
TotalO/U 2.5-167
AST at TOTSAT 7:30 AM
1X2TOT-10547.9%
Draw+26325.8%
AST+25526.4%
SpreadTOT -0.5-105
TotalO/U 2.5-128
ARS at BRISAT 10:00 AM
1X2ARS-12652.5%0.4
Draw+27825.0%0.2
BRI+32022.5%0.3
SpreadBRI +0.625-111
TotalO/U 2.5-127
IPS at EVESAT 10:00 AM
1X2EVE-12953.3%0.1
Draw+28024.9%0.1
IPS+33521.8%0.3
SpreadEVE -0.625-1150.1
TotalO/U 2.5-128
HUL at NEWSAT 10:00 AM
1X2NEW-21363.9%0.1
Draw+36020.4%0.0
HUL+50015.7%0.0
SpreadNEW -1.375+113
TotalO/U 2.5-1670.1
COV at NOTSAT 12:30 PM
1X2NOT-13153.3%
Draw+28024.8%
COV+33021.9%
SpreadNOT -0.625-1150.2
TotalO/U 2.5-125
LIV at BOUSUN 9:00 AM
1X2LIV+10845.5%0.6
Draw+29524.0%0.5
BOU+21030.5%0.1
SpreadBOU +0.375-1160.5
TotalO/U 3.5+1180.5
CRY at LEESUN 9:00 AM
1X2LEE+10546.0%0.1
Draw+25027.0%0.1
CRY+25027.0%0.1
SpreadLEE -0.5+1010.1
TotalO/U 2.5-116
SUN at MCISUN 9:00 AM
1X2MCI-37774.3%0.1
Draw+47516.3%0.1
SUN+9009.4%0.0
SpreadMCI -1.625-1130.2
TotalO/U 3.5+131
MUN at FULSUN 11:30 AM
1X2MUN-10247.4%0.2
Draw+27824.9%0.1
FUL+24027.7%0.1
SpreadFUL +0.5-122
TotalO/U 2.5-161

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.