The Market
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
Full season →0.5
-233
65.8%
▲32.0BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
Full season →0.5
+176
34.2%
▼32.0TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
Full season →1.5
-200
62.4%
▲25.1TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
Full season →1.5
+149
37.6%
▼25.1BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
Full season →2.5
+146
38.3%
▼23.5BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
Full season →2.5
-190
61.7%
▲23.5CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
Full season →1.5
-185
60.9%
▲22.4CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
Full season →1.5
+140
39.1%
▼22.4NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
+190
32.6%
▼17.8NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
Full season →1.5
-250
67.4%
▲17.8NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3—
2—
10—
4—
7—
3—
11—
5—
3—
3—
Full season →4.5
-149
56.3%
▲7.9NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3—
2—
10—
4—
7—
3—
11—
5—
3—
3—
Full season →4.5
+116
43.7%
▼7.9NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
Full season →5.5
+115
43.4%
▼6.7NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
Full season →5.5
-154
56.6%
▲6.7GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 10 of 16 games
Full season →—
-169
as offered
▲5.8NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 9 games
Full season →—
+400
as offered
▲4.6NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
Full season →2.5
+100
47.0%
▲3.4NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
Full season →2.5
-130
53.0%
▼3.4NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
Full season →3.5
+117
43.2%
▼3.3NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
Full season →3.5
-153
56.8%
▲3.3DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
Full season →2.5
-149
56.6%
▲3.0DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
Full season →2.5
+118
43.4%
▼3.0NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.5/game
Full season →1.5
+112
47.2%
▲2.8NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11—
8—
4—
13—
6—
0—
9—
2—
5—
9—
Full season →6.5
-114
49.9%
▲2.5NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11—
8—
4—
13—
6—
0—
9—
2—
5—
9—
Full season →6.5
-114
50.1%
▼2.5SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
Full season →1.5
+159
36.3%
▼2.5SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
Full season →1.5
-211
63.7%
▲2.5SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 13 games
Full season →—
+925
as offered
▼2.4BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
-159
57.7%
▼2.1BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
Full season →1.5
+122
42.3%
▲2.1GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 3.4/game
Full season →2.5
+140
39.2%
▼2.1GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 3.4/game
Full season →2.5
-183
60.8%
▲2.1SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 8 of 12 · 2.4/game
Full season →1.5
-118
50.8%
▲2.1SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 8 of 12 · 2.4/game
Full season →1.5
-110
49.2%
▼2.1NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
Full season →3.5
+116
43.3%
▼2.0NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
Full season →3.5
-154
56.7%
▲2.0BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.9/game
Full season →2.5
+121
42.5%
▼1.9BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.9/game
Full season →2.5
-159
57.5%
▲1.9GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rec yds in 7 of 12 · 16.6/game
14.5
10—
8—
31—
0—
22—
16—
11—
22—
20—
15—
Full season →14.5
-118
50.9%
▲1.9GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rec yds in 7 of 12 · 16.6/game
14.5
10—
8—
31—
0—
22—
16—
11—
22—
20—
15—
Full season →14.5
-110
49.1%
▼1.9Showing 40 of 2334 priced selections.
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.