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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
Player · game · the statsMarketLinePriceImp%24h
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
0.5
0
1
1
2
2
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
0.5
-233
65.8%
32.0
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 0.5 recs in 10 of 13 · 1.2/game
0.5
0
1
1
2
2
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Under
0.5
+176
34.2%
32.0
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
-200
62.4%
25.1
TB at CIN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 8 · 2.1/game
1.5
3
2
4
0
4
2
1
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
+149
37.6%
25.1
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
2.5
4
2
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+146
38.3%
23.5
BUF at HOU · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 7 of 17 · 2.4/game
2.5
4
2
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-190
61.7%
23.5
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
1.5
2
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
-185
60.9%
22.4
CHI at CAR · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 2.1/game
1.5
2
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
0
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
+140
39.1%
22.4
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+190
32.6%
17.8
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 5 of 15 · 1.3/game
1.5
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-250
67.4%
17.8
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3
2
10
4
7
3
11
5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
4.5
-149
56.3%
7.9
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 4.5 recs in 6 of 17 · 4.5/game
4.5
3
2
10
4
7
3
11
5
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
4.5
+116
43.7%
7.9
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
5.5
+115
43.4%
6.7
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 5.5 recs in 7 of 16 · 5.1/game
5.5
3
5
9
2
6
10
8
7
2
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
5.5
-154
56.6%
6.7
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: a TD in 10 of 16 games
0.5
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
Full season →
Anytime TD
-169
as offered
5.8
D. NealBoard
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: a TD in 2 of 9 games
0.5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+400
as offered
4.6
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
2.5
5
2
3
4
1
5
3
1
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+100
47.0%
3.4
NYJ at TEN · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 13 · 3.4/game
2.5
5
2
3
4
1
5
3
1
9
5
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-130
53.0%
3.4
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
3.5
6
2
5
7
7
7
0
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
+117
43.2%
3.3
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 3.8/game
3.5
6
2
5
7
7
7
0
4
6
4
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
-153
56.8%
3.3
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
2.5
2
4
3
4
2
3
1
1
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
-149
56.6%
3.0
DEN at KC · NFL · MON 8:15 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 8 of 19 · 2.1/game
2.5
2
4
3
4
2
3
1
1
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
+118
43.4%
3.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.5/game
1.5
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
+112
47.2%
2.8
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11
8
4
13
6
0
9
2
5
9
Full season →
Recs
Over
6.5
-114
49.9%
2.5
NO at DET · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 6.5 recs in 10 of 17 · 6.9/game
6.5
11
8
4
13
6
0
9
2
5
9
Full season →
Recs
Under
6.5
-114
50.1%
2.5
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
1.5
1
6
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
+159
36.3%
2.5
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 9 of 16 · 1.8/game
1.5
1
6
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
-211
63.7%
2.5
C. KirkBoard
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: a TD in 3 of 13 games
0.5
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Full season →
Anytime TD
+925
as offered
2.4
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
1.5
0
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
2
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Under
1.5
-159
57.7%
2.1
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 pass TDs in 6 of 13 · 1.5/game
1.5
0
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
2
1
Full season →
Pass TDs
Over
1.5
+122
42.3%
2.1
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 3.4/game
2.5
2
1
4
2
5
3
4
5
4
6
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
+140
39.2%
2.1
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 17 · 3.4/game
2.5
2
1
4
2
5
3
4
5
4
6
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
-183
60.8%
2.1
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 8 of 12 · 2.4/game
1.5
1
1
2
5
1
3
3
3
4
2
Full season →
Recs
Over
1.5
-118
50.8%
2.1
SF at LAR · NFL · THU 8:35 PM
2025: cleared 1.5 recs in 8 of 12 · 2.4/game
1.5
1
1
2
5
1
3
3
3
4
2
Full season →
Recs
Under
1.5
-110
49.2%
2.1
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
3.5
5
0
4
3
2
5
2
3
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Over
3.5
+116
43.3%
2.0
NE at SEA · NFL · WED 8:20 PM
2025: cleared 3.5 recs in 4 of 18 · 2.4/game
3.5
5
0
4
3
2
5
2
3
3
1
Full season →
Recs
Under
3.5
-154
56.7%
2.0
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.9/game
2.5
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
Full season →
Recs
Under
2.5
+121
42.5%
1.9
BAL at IND · NFL · SUN 1:00 PM
2025: cleared 2.5 recs in 11 of 16 · 2.9/game
2.5
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
Full season →
Recs
Over
2.5
-159
57.5%
1.9
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rec yds in 7 of 12 · 16.6/game
14.5
10
8
31
0
22
16
11
22
20
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Under
14.5
-118
50.9%
1.9
GB at MIN · NFL · SUN 4:25 PM
2025: cleared 14.5 rec yds in 7 of 12 · 16.6/game
14.5
10
8
31
0
22
16
11
22
20
15
Full season →
Rec yds
Over
14.5
-110
49.1%
1.9

Anytime and one-sided prices are as offered, not de-vigged - several players can score, so those do not sum to 100. Stat lines are our own game logs speaking; the price is the market's answer. We show both.

Showing 40 of 2334 priced selections.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.